Tical21
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- Mar 16, 2012
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I'm asking this out of curiousity, because I've never taken the time to look into it. Say Russell gets what, 5 years at 100 million, 50 million guaranteed, 30 to sign. Is that ballpark right? 30 million over 5 years means the cap hit for the signing bonus is 6 per year. Year 1 salary is going to be like 4 million? Does that mean his year 5 salary is like 35 million? I don't get that part.kearly":1nn9ful5 said:Tical21":1nn9ful5 said:I still don't think there is any chance this gets done this year, as we can't get anywhere near being able to afford what he is asking without cutting several good players.
If Wilson signs a deal with a typical QB structure and rolls it into his final cheap year, his 2015 cap hit would be about $10 million or so due to the way that signing bonuses work. Should be manageable.
Regarding the top five money line of thinking, here are the AYP salaries for every starting QB currently not in the top five who is not on his rookie contract:
Peyton Manning $19,200,000
Colin Kaepernick $19,000,000
Jay Cutler $18,100,000
Tony Romo $18,000,000
Matt Stafford $17,666,667
Alex Smith $17,000,000
Carson Palmer $16,500,000
Eli Manning $16,250,000
Andy Dalton $16,000,000
Philip Rivers $15,300,000
Tom Brady $11,400,000
Brian Hoyer $5,250,000
Matt Cassel $5,250,000
Josh McCown $4,666,667
Most of those QBs have never won a Lombardi, and never will. I personally wouldn't trade Wilson straight up for any of them, even at $22+ million AYP.
Of course, you could always draft Bryce Petty in the 3rd round and hope to get lucky. Very lucky. And even if you did get lucky, he'd only be cheap for four years.
Okay, so we've found that the Super Bowl winners probably aren't going to come from the 5 highest paid QB's. So they will most likely come from this next group. Brady fits my criteria quite well. Maybe Rivers or Dalton. Maybe Luck? He would have to win this year to meet my criteria most likely. Maybe the next champs are going to come from guys making less than the guys on this list. Maybe Foles or Bradford? Newton? It will be an interesting theory to follow for the next several seasons, especially as Luck and Wilson get paid.
I thought we were the team known for outside the box thinking. The ballsy, outside the box move is to not bow to the pressure of the media and fanbase to overpay your quarterback. I know it is a huge risk, and I know it is absolutely unheard of to try, but the rest of our roster is so darn good, I think we can teach a QB not to turn it over and hopefully make a couple plays in the process. There are cheap guys we can win Super Bowls with. Then we would have the money to add that receiver AND add Houston or another huge piece, AND pay Wagner. And continue to have one of the most ridiculous rosters in the history of pro football.
If you think Russell is THAT guy, you have no choice, you have to pay him. But if he isn't, paying him will completely kill your franchise. I personally don't think he is THAT guy. He makes it look so much more difficult than all the other incredible quarterbacks we have seen over the years, and I just don't think he really gets the intricacies of the passing game. Eventually those dancing shoes will get holes in them if he doesn't start to take strides that will make life easier on himself. Watch that playoff and SB tape. It's not good. And it wasn't because of the receivers or Bevell primarily.