Ranking Every NFL Team's QB Situation Heading into 2022 Season

[flv2]

I'll have to disagree. The NFL GM world lives in the cap hit (accrual) method of accounting. It's the most important. The article is arguing for the current 2022 season, Goff and his $31M cap hit for 2022 is a better solution than Geno and Drew. Goff's usage of a finite amount of cap space impacts their current roster. Last year or next year's cash flow isn't relevant to a GM putting together a team this year with cap limitations, so you have to look at it relative to the cap hit they bring vs their market value in the year they are playing. Pretty simple.

It's not cash flow, it's an accounting procedure.

If a team signs a player to a 1 year $10M deal they'll normally account for it in that 1 year. They could put mechanisms or procedures in place to account for less than $10M in that year. The important thing is whether the player is worth the money. If he's only worth $8M then accounting for $6M in the 1st year and $4M after he's gone is still a bad deal.

GMs aren't looking at the cap from a 1 year perspective.

 

[flv2]

That's one way to measure it, for sure. Trading Russ came with a $26M dead cap hit, but it also brought a return of value. Multiple players and multiple picks. Should Seattle's current QB position take the whole hit for the trade of Russ, but other positions get to gain from it without any adjustments? I would think the correct way is to allocate a portion of Russel's cap hit to every positional group acquired from the trade, so QB, TE, DE, DT, OL, future draft picks?...it gets complicated.

IMO, a dead cap amount caused by a trade is a stand alone issue that should be considered as a part of the overall trade value, especially since the cap hit of the trading team is most likely considered when figuring the value to ask for or give up.

Holy moly! It isn't about player positions and it's barely anything to do with Wilson. The team is effectively just borrowing cap money from future cap years. Last season the Seahawks borrowed about $62M, (effectively a running total overspent of the salary cap). Each 'loan' has a player's name next to it and a repayment schedule. The team had $26M next to Wilson's name and $13M was going to be accounted for in 2022 anyway. The remaining $13M cap accounting has been brought forward from 2023 to 2022. Other 'loans' will replace it.

 

[Recon_Hawk]

Cap hits aren't important.

The article is grading each team's QB situation for the 2022 season. Not last year. Not next year. This year. And how much cap hit is recognized does impact the team a GM can put on the field.

You want to know why the cap hit matters when grading a team's strength in the current year vs just looking at their cash cost?

Which group below would you rate has the stronger of the two
for 2022?

A. Goff $26m cash, or
B. The cap hit of $26m for the following players the rams recently signed to make another SB run

 

[flv2]

The article is grading each team's QB situation for the 2022 season. Not last year. Not next year. This year. And how much cap hit is recognized does impact the team a GM can put on the field.

You want to know why the cap hit matters when grading a team's strength in the current year vs just looking at their cash cost?

Which group below would you rate has the stronger of the two
for 2022?

A. Goff $26m cash, or
B. The cap hit of $26m for the following players the rams recently signed to make another SB run

The article had nothing to do with cap hits. Niet, zip, nada.

Cap hits are not a direct correlation of what a team is paying a player. The Rams are paying Wagner $10M this year plus $2M in incentive targets that he's likely to reach. Whether he earns $10M or $12M his cap figure for 2022 will be $2.5M. That $2.5M figure is not a real number. It doesn't mean anything. If you start trying to extrapolate any theory on what $2.5M gets you in the NFL based on a garbage number it'll result in garbage in garbage out.

 

[Recon_Hawk]

The article had nothing to do with cap hits. Niet, zip, nada.

Cap hits are not a direct correlation of what a team is paying a player. The Rams are paying Wagner $10M this year plus $2M in incentive targets that he's likely to reach. Whether he earns $10M or $12M his cap figure for 2022 will be $2.5M. That $2.5M figure is not a real number. It doesn't mean anything. If you start trying to extrapolate any theory on what $2.5M gets you in the NFL based on a garbage number it'll result in garbage in garbage out.

The article literally discusses cutting Goff in 2023 to save cap space.

Cap hits are factual, actual numbers. The $208M salary cap for 2022 is a real number. Teams don't get to make up the cap hit they want. It is essentially accrual accounting. The recognition of expense as they are incurred. There are strict rules that must be followed.

Bobby Wagner's signing bonus of $5M is spread over his 5 year contract, annually for $1m per year because that makes more sense than have to record the whole amount when it was paid out.

$1M bonus + $1.5 base salary = $2.5 cap hit.

I honestly can't believe I'm arguing that the cap hits don't mean anything.

 

[flv2]

The article literally discusses cutting Goff in 2023 to save cap space.

Cap hits are factual, actual numbers. The $208M salary cap for 2022 is a real number. Teams don't get to make up the cap hit they want. It is essentially accrual accounting. The recognition of expense as they are incurred. There are strict rules that must be followed.

Bobby Wagner's signing bonus of $5M is spread over his 5 year contract, annually for $1m per year because that makes more sense than have to record the whole amount when it was paid out.

$1M bonus + $1.5 base salary = $2.5 cap hit.

I honestly can't believe I'm arguing that the cap hits don't mean anything.

If the Rams released Wagner on June 9 2022 his cap figure for 2022 would be $2.5M and his cap figure for 2023 would be $7.5M. Wagner's true cost for 2022 is $10M, (+ potentially $2M more). Thinking of Wagner as a $2.5M addition would be silly. Is that simple enough?

 

[Recon_Hawk]

If the Rams released Wagner on June 9 2022 his cap figure for 2022 would be $2.5M and his cap figure for 2023 would be $7.5M. Wagner's true cost for 2022 is $10M, (+ potentially $2M more). Thinking of Wagner as a $2.5M addition would be silly. Is that simple enough?

Yes. It's pretty basic to understand. It's just not relevant to the entire point I'm making.

OK, let's try this. We have the two very similar quarterbacks playing in 2022. Over two years they get $20M each, but spread out differently.

In 2022:
Player A: $2 cap hit
Player B: $18 cap hit

For the 2022 season, I would rank the team's quarterback situation with player A above player B, since Team A has an additional $16M cap space to make their team better in the current year.

Yes, there is a "true cost", but the league doesn't set an annual true cost limit. They set a salary cap limit. To say it doesn't matter when the entire league lives in that method of accounting for player cost is just wrong.

 

[beaumaris]

I thought the Seahawks paid Smith a little too much, but Smith for $3.5M, with just $0.5M of that guaranteed, looks like the bargain of the century compared to JaGoff for $31M.

Goff is still 10 times better than Smith,so it’s a rub.