mikeak":1lnyr8m6 said:
Now run the same analysis comparing ALL drafted QB's, ALL low cost QBs over the same time period and tell me the percentage of them that have won. Then compare that to the money spent on the "losers" and you realize finding the right QB through other avenues is like finding the needle in the haystack.
If the options are Cleveland type continuous searching or GB constant playoff appearance and coming close again then I surely elect the GB way and hoping to strike gold once in awhile....
The funny thing is that the number of low-cost QBs who have won a Super Bowl is non-zero, while the highest-paid QBs who have been in a Super Bowl is zero.
In recent history there have been two low-cost QBs in the Super Bowl, being Wilson and Kaepernick. In both instances, they were bolstered by a top-flight defense and strong running game. The Seahawks have a top-flight defense and strong running game.
Please don't treat me as if I have a horse in this race. As I said in a previous post, I had a dream that made me consider some of "the other side" which is the letting-Wilson-walk side, and in my exploration I ran across some figures that I found interesting, so I shared them here.
Overall I find it a rather informative exercise to take the opposite of my original position and try to prove it, because it definitely sheds light on the other side of the coin and I often find some validity there.
As of now I do believe there is something to the idea of an expensive QB causing a lack of talent around him. Certainly if you want to take a case-in-point, look at the Saints (and thank them, because without Brees' ridiculously stupid contract we wouldn't get Graham).
I do find it amusing the number of arguments based on "you can't do it that way because other teams don't" when the Seahawks are poster children for tall defensive backs, small quick linemen, a 3rd-round QB, a team based on defense in the age of passing, a team based on rushing in the age of passing... We do EVERYTHING wrong, yet it still turns out right. So I am not very interested in "other teams don't do it that way" as a reason.
I've been a Seahawks fan since 1979 and know very well the difficulty of finding a franchise QB. But having explored the idea of letting Wilson walk, I have to say there is some merit to it.
Consider just for a moment if this is Wilson's ceiling in terms of production does he fall in the top tier of NFL quarterbacks, and if not is it wise to pay him not only like a top-tier QB but THE top QB?.
Of course, this may not be Wilson's ceiling. He may yet evolve into a more effective passer with the addition of some talent around him. Of course we may not be able to afford that talent if we continue to emphasize defense and pay Wilson as the top QB in the league.
A lot of what it boils down to is that if Wilson is not in fact the best QB in the NFL, is it wise to pay his as if he is? Ignore the extortion angle of what we do without him or where we find our next QB considering we don't even have one on the team who has thrown a professional pass. Just consider only where Wilson really ranks among QBs for production, and run the cost/benefit ratio on it and see if it still makes sense.
I can see both sides, because I looked into both sides. I can justify either position. It's an interesting thing to watch unfold.