Tical21":7zicz4ne said:
I'm going to get killed for it, but I wouldn't pay it. With all of the pieces we have and the defense we have, there are a lot of quarterbacks out there that we can win Super Bowls with.
Yeah, I think that's the interesting conversation. It's really two different questions, IMO:
Question 1: Is RW worth 6/129?
I think he's IS worth 6/129. He hasn't developed as quickly as I thought he would in some of the problem areas that I think will hamper him long term, but he still has a chance to get there and the things he does well he does so well that it overshadows some of those things.
Question 2: Is RW worth 6/129 FOR THE SEAHAWKS?
That's a little trickier, and I think it's a very legitimate question.
I will say that I don't buy the argument that he's worth it because the defense has taken a step back. That's mistaking carts for horses. Instead, the defense has taken a step back because the team has let people go BECAUSE they need to clear room for Wilson's contract. These things aren't independent. You can't say the Seahawks need Wilson because they don't have as good of a D-line rotation this year because they don't have Bryant, Clemons, and McDonald in order to clear room for Wilson. Same with #2 and #3 CB.
There's going to be more too. Add up these five guys and throw in Golden Tate to boot and you're still only at 14 million of Wilson's expected 22-24 milliion. Throw in Marshawn Lynch and Bobby Wagner and you get up to what you're trading Russell Wilson for.
That makes sense for some teams (like the Packers or Saints), but for teams like the Hawks which win with the running game and defense it being worth it or not is a much more legitimate question.
As I've posted before, for teams that win with running game and defense like the Hawks, 49ers, and Chiefs, I just think the math has to be different. Wilson is a better player than Kap, but for a team that wins with running and defense is he 8 million a year better? I'm not sure. Same story with Kap and Alex Smith (is Kap six million a year better for that type of team), or Wilson and Alex Smith (Wilson is obviously better, but is he 13 million a year better?).
Basically, Wilson could very well be worth 22 million per year, but to answer that question, the Seahawks have to change what makes them successful and what type of team they are. There's not a right answer to that, but it's the risk that's being taken.
DISCLAIMER: I'm NOT bagging on Wilson. Even when I say he hasn't developed as much as I expected in the areas I thought he needed to develop, I still think he's the most promising of the young QBs, with Luck a close second.