Vegas Line Creeping Down

Hawk-Lock

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 12, 2014
Messages
5,371
Reaction score
624
Don't really like what Vegas is doing with our game. Majority of the money is on Seattle. Seattle opened as a TD favorite, down to only -6 today. :(
 

kidhawk

Well-known member
Joined
Jun 7, 2009
Messages
24,965
Reaction score
5,101
Location
Anchorage, AK
Not sure I blame anyone for taking the Bills plus 7. Our offense is struggling and they have a very solid defense. I expect a close and a low scoring game.
 
Joined
Mar 13, 2007
Messages
414
Reaction score
24
Hawk-Lock":1pmnle2n said:
Don't really like what Vegas is doing with our game. Majority of the money is on Seattle. Seattle opened as a TD favorite, down to only -6 today. :(
Which is why the line moved down...to try and get more to come in on the bills side to even out.
 

andyh64000

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 13, 2013
Messages
1,079
Reaction score
186
coorslighthawk":3my2w4fj said:
Hawk-Lock":3my2w4fj said:
Don't really like what Vegas is doing with our game. Majority of the money is on Seattle. Seattle opened as a TD favorite, down to only -6 today. :(
Which is why the line moved down...to try and get more to come in on the bills side to even out.

The line would go up if they wanted more money on the Bills.
 

kidhawk

Well-known member
Joined
Jun 7, 2009
Messages
24,965
Reaction score
5,101
Location
Anchorage, AK
andyh64000":xuoxq101 said:
coorslighthawk":xuoxq101 said:
Hawk-Lock":xuoxq101 said:
Don't really like what Vegas is doing with our game. Majority of the money is on Seattle. Seattle opened as a TD favorite, down to only -6 today. :(
Which is why the line moved down...to try and get more to come in on the bills side to even out.

The line would go up if they wanted more money on the Bills.


Exactly. 7 points with the way our offense is playing is not going to cut it against a good defensive team like the Bills. We may in fact cover that, but I wouldn't bet on it personally, and apparently the gamblers are somewhat in agreement.
 

MontanaHawk05

Well-known member
Joined
May 1, 2009
Messages
18,586
Reaction score
1,520
The Bills defense is a bit overrated. Average DVOA. I think it's because their defense is behaving like the Jets' defense right now - great up front, secondary not living up to their star billing. Kaepernick and Fitzpatrick both torched them.

I expect Wilson and Bevell will pay them less respect than they did to the Cards and Saints' defenses and take some jump shots towards Graham and Baldwin. That's part of why our offense has fallen off - Bevell goes into pillbug mode against defense that are strong through and through.
 

kidhawk

Well-known member
Joined
Jun 7, 2009
Messages
24,965
Reaction score
5,101
Location
Anchorage, AK
MontanaHawk05":21dcyz70 said:
The Bills defense is a bit overrated. Average DVOA. I think it's because their defense is behaving like the Jets' defense right now - great up front, secondary not living up to their star billing. Kaepernick and Fitzpatrick both torched them.

I expect Wilson and Bevell will pay them less respect than they did to the Cards and Saints' defenses and take some jump shots towards Graham and Baldwin. That's part of why our offense has fallen off - Bevell goes into pillbug mode against defense that are strong through and through.

Our big issue right now is with team's with a strong pass rush. Wilson's lack of mobility is killing us against these types of teams. If the line can give him a little time, or if he's able to move around better than he has thus far this season, then we should have no problem, but if the line plays as it has and Wilson struggles with his mobility as he has, then it could be a tough day for the offense once again. Those, IMO are some pretty big ifs. Which is why I think the game may very well be a close one (at least closer than it should be)
 

Sgt. Largent

Well-known member
Joined
Oct 1, 2012
Messages
25,560
Reaction score
7,617
andyh64000":2z3pfqt1 said:
coorslighthawk":2z3pfqt1 said:
Hawk-Lock":2z3pfqt1 said:
Don't really like what Vegas is doing with our game. Majority of the money is on Seattle. Seattle opened as a TD favorite, down to only -6 today. :(
Which is why the line moved down...to try and get more to come in on the bills side to even out.

The line would go up if they wanted more money on the Bills.

Right, which means the money right now is going on the Bills........so they're lowering it to get more money on the Hawks.

This means this game might be closer than we'd like if the hardcore degenerate gamblers are putting their money on the Bills today.
 

Hawks46

New member
Joined
Apr 30, 2009
Messages
7,498
Reaction score
0
The Bills defense is ranked 25th in the league vs. the run giving up just shy of 119 ypg. That's 10 ypg worse than the Saints, whom we ran on, but inexplicably gave up the run.

You don't want to deal with the pass rush ? Run right at the pass rushers. Wear them down, tired them out.

Keep your defense off the field, as Buffalo wants to run a lot as well.
Protect your QB.
Marcel Dareus is out.

Run. The. Damn. Ball.
 

dopeboy206

Active member
Joined
May 7, 2013
Messages
1,115
Reaction score
17
coorslighthawk":24cgv4lj said:
Hawk-Lock":24cgv4lj said:
Don't really like what Vegas is doing with our game. Majority of the money is on Seattle. Seattle opened as a TD favorite, down to only -6 today. :(
Which is why the line moved down...to try and get more to come in on the bills side to even out.
Am I missing something here? Lol. Wouldn't the line go up if they wanted more money to go the bills side?
 

English12thMan

New member
Joined
Nov 7, 2016
Messages
7
Reaction score
0
Hey guys, first post here but have been religiously following the forum almost everyday for a couple of years now.

On the subject of the Vegas line, the public money may be on our Seahawks however the 'sharp' money is on the Bills +7/+6.5 which is the reason why the line is coming in.

For what it's worth I think we hold Bills to around 10-13 points today whilst getting two TD's ourselves and perhaps 2/3 field goals. 20-13 Seahawks. Game doesn't start until 1-35 a m here so I am hoping we win and it is worth the 3 hour sleep I will get haha
 

OkieHawk

New member
Joined
Sep 18, 2011
Messages
6,207
Reaction score
0
Location
Oklahoma City
English12thMan":2s37bgvh said:
Hey guys, first post here but have been religiously following the forum almost everyday for a couple of years now.

On the subject of the Vegas line, the public money may be on our Seahawks however the 'sharp' money is on the Bills +7/+6.5 which is the reason why the line is coming in.

For what it's worth I think we hold Bills to around 10-13 points today whilst getting two TD's ourselves and perhaps 2/3 field goals. 20-13 Seahawks. Game doesn't start until 1-35 a m here so I am hoping we win and it is worth the 3 hour sleep I will get haha

Welcome to .Net!
 
OP
OP
Hawk-Lock

Hawk-Lock

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 12, 2014
Messages
5,371
Reaction score
624
Public bets are on the Seahawks.

Sharp money (big money bettors) are on the Bills, which is why you have seen the line go from 7 to 6.

That said. I got $250 to win $100 on Seahawks ML.
 
Top