theENGLISHseahawk":240dqwlo said:
Kearse didn't get off the jam. Lockette assumed (wrongly) he would be able to and didn't anticipate Butler. Bad catching technique by Lockette anyway trying to scoop it instead of pluck it.
Bad execution all round -- but you do that play 100 times and maybe 95 times it's a TD the way they lined up.
This. There are very few teams that can stop this play if ran correctly. Actually, it's really hard to keep a team out of the end zone with less than a yard to go and 3 downs to do it.
Every one says Lockette should've come harder to the ball, or shielded the CB. Here's the problem: the way it was lined up, Kearse was supposed to rub/pick Butler, moving from Lockette's left to his right (this is important). Kearse doesn't get off the jam. I don't have a problem with it, as it's Browner jamming him. Things get washed through, and Butler makes a break on the ball, but he's honestly 2 yards back at the time. How exactly is Lockette supposed to shield a guy that was: A. supposed to get picked, and B. isn't close enough to sense where he's at in the first place ?
Here's the few things that went wrong:
First, we don't run that play a lot, so expecting excellent execution on something that isn't ordinary for us to do isn't reasonable. I mean, you can expect it, but don't count on it the majority of the time.
Secondly, Kearse is supposed to get a pick/rub on Lock's guy., Problem is, they lined up Browner on Kearse. We all know that Browner is the toughest CB to get off of a jam against in the entire league. He's the biggest, strongest, and longest. He's going to get his hands on you before you get 2 steps off the line and any sort of momentum. This should be a red flag "gee, Browner is going to jam Kearse, who is supposed to get through Browner and rub Lock's guy" I wouldn't like the matchup to be honest. Is this on Wilson to audible out of ?
Third, Lockette doesn't have the best hands. Typically, you can sling it into a guy's body on a slant like this, but like English mentioned, if Lockette reaches for this ball, he either gets his hands on it, or gets his hands on it first to where Butler either disrupts the play for an incompletion, or if he's there too early, might get a PI call. Can't really blame Lock as he didn't even feel the guy there. If he didn't feel the guy there, the pick must've worked, right ? You can't see what's going on behind you. Put yourself in his position on the play.
Fourth: Wilson threw a bad ball. It wasn't horrible under normal circumstances, but at the goal line, where everything is condensed, and into traffic, you have to put it where it's supposed to be. The ball needs to be down, and either dead center of Lockette's body, or slightly behind. Why slightly behind ? Because Kearse was moving left to right with Browner. The ONLY path to that football is in front of Lockette. If the ball is in the middle of Lock's body, Butler has to hit Lock early and go through him to make a play. PI call. If it's behind, Butler really can't do much of anything, as Browner was still in the way. TD. This goes back to expecting Wilson to make a very excellent pass he normally doesn't throw a lot in games.
My final premise on this one is that Pete said they called this play to kind of "waste a play". So when he's saying that, automatically they are thinking it probably won't work. I know the statistics about how safe a play this is. I also know that a pass into traffic in the end zone is a scary proposition for both teams. And now you're throwing to NE's strength: their secondary.
I still feel it comes down to play call. A lot had to go right to make that happen, and everything went wrong. Literally everything. And that ball is up in the air for grabs. The Pats had 3 guys out there that weighed damn near 350 lbs. We hadn't run the R/O keeper all day. The Pats OLB's had shown they didn't have the speed to stay with Wilson.
Either a Read Option keeper or a QB rollout would've scored a TD, and taken a good 10 seconds off of the clock. I could be talking to Pete Carroll himself, and he couldn't convince me that with at least 2 big bodied WRs to one side (preferrably one a TE) and Wilson rolling out with 1 yard to gain, that NE could've stopped Wilson from getting that ball into the end zone.