The point is that Wilson DID NOT make the key play, and instead made a HORRENDOUS GAME-LOSING MISTAKE, which reflects who he was, and still is, in Denver. In that SB49 moment, the New England defense exposed Russell as unworthy of being a back-to-back Super Bowl Champion QB, a QB who carried the team to victory at crunch time. Luck can only carry you so far, and good/bad luck tends to even out over time. Kearse's "lucky" ricochet catch on that fateful drive was evened out by Wilson's "unlucky" game-losing pick.
It would be much harder to argue against a 2-time Super Bowl Champion, especially one who led a game-winning drive at the biggest moment on the biggest stage. Russell fell short. Neither you nor Russell has a time machine that can go back and reverse the awful outcome.
Russell was not prepared enough, not knowledgeable enough, to audible out to a Lynch run, or even a read-option. Russell was not prepared enough, not knowledgeable enough, to realize presnap that the playcall presented a mismatch against Seattle, Kearse having to physically win against Browner. As Russell says, "The separation is in the preparation", but sadly, Russell was unprepared to win against that scenario. HOF 1st ballot QB Brady meanwhile, took candy from a baby all the 2nd half by recognizing matchups presnap, "Where's (Tharald "Toast") Simon?" and repeatedly exploiting that matchup.
A HOF-worthy QB, IMO, would have made adjustments over his career, to learn the lessons, and adjust to the way defenses play him, and figure out new ways to "win" against what defensive coordinators throw at him. "The pick" in SB49 simply showed the TRUTH about Russell Wilson; the outcome wasn't "luck". In the KJ Hamler helmet-slam play, essentially the same play as the SB49 game-losing pick, Russell showed he never learned to READ DEFENSES, and made the opposite mistake, not throwing the ball in a game-winning situation when it was WIDE OPEN.
On the pop-culture side, Russell has a perfume, IIRC, and a special Subway sandwich, and he's been the longtime Alaska Airlines spokesman, so maybe he should get extra HOF cred for all that?
I think we actually agree that Russell is right on the fence of HOF-worthy, we only disagree on which side of the fence he should wind up on at this moment in time. I say, Russell's HOF selection *should* depend on him having a couple years of success and growth with the Broncos. In the end, our opinions matter little, and the voters will decide.