Ad Hawk":2b533qpt said:
Spin Doctor":2b533qpt said:
Can you give any solid reason why Seattle will be good this year besides "im a hawk fan"? I think they will be better than most people are predicting, but I do not know where this "Superbowl" talk is coming from. If you're a pundit, WHAT gives you any sort of indication that this team will be above average? The answer is nothing.
The answer for
you is "nothing"; not for others of us.
#1 - With a quality QB, a team always has a chance. RW is top-tier, and clutch. He'll always give us a chance, as we saw this last year, even with a highly imbalanced offense due to an inept running game. When the running game is better this next year, Russ will also be a greater threat to run as well.
#2 - If everyone's complaints about Bevell were true, then there's no way Schotty will be worse. He is an upgrade just because he's not Bevell, right? After all, that was the argument made by so many for far too long. Otherwise, we can say the O is undetermined, but there are reasons for optimism.
#3 - You're simply wrong about the O-line not improving quickly under a different coach. Again, if Cable was as bad as everyone was saying (including DBrown declining immediately on relocating here in Seattle under Cable), Solari will indeed provide improvement to the line. It will be noticeable
this coming year.
#4 - RBs as a whole have more potential and real past production than last year's group; and yes, I would count college as production. The line will look better, and the RBs will help them look better, too.
#5 - New energy from hungry rookies provides an upgrade over complacent, well-paid vets. There's a reason so many of the latter are now gone. And while we may have had a once-in-a-generation squad in the LoB, Pete's ability to coach up the defense hasn't ended, nor has his system. New players will buy in and we'll just see how well the system works with others plugged in.
#6 - The WR core with Baldwin, Brown, Lockett, Marshall, Darboh, Stringfellow, etc, provide RW good enough options to move the chains, especially with a decent running game this year. The targets will simply be different.
#7 - How has the kicking game not upgraded with Walsh gone? That aspect of the game kept us from at least one win, if not two (or potentially 3 including the Falcons game) last season.
#8 - As you noted, the upgraded LB position will be a strength this year.
#9 - Injuries were a tough break in 2017-2018. It will always be a wild-card, but good health is just as possible as injuries. Why not believe last year won't be repeated?
Reasons for optimism? There are a number of indications available even without Hawk-colored glasses. They aren't over-the-top, either.
1. History has also shown that one guy can't do it alone. It is a tough battle to get to the SuperBowl, and when weather conditions get worse a good defense, and running game become important. A QB can put us into the playoffs, sure, but you surely won't be going all the way without some kind of support. Objectively we're relying on a bunch of unproven players, and has-beens. Can we make it to the playoffs? Absolutely, Superbowl? Unlikely.
2. Bevell was a bad OC, but Schottenheimer isn't any better. He has been re-treaded for the fourth time. I think he does offer some advantages over Bevell, mainly he runs a much tighter ship. That being said he is practically the same dude, and he possesses many of the same flaws. If you're banking on him to magically become an above average OC I think you're putting your hopes in the wrong places. Wilson may make his stats look better ala' Bevell, but I suspect most fans will have the same exact gripes, and rightfully so. Another negative is the complexity of his offense, and how crazy his naming conventions are. This is not an offense that will come running out of the gates even if he has learned a thing or two.
3. They will improve, I don't think it will be the magical improvement most are hoping for. Slightly better is what they will be. Some of these offensive lineman could be just bad picks overall that are unteachable. Brown is also at the age where LTs start declining. Overall we have a line that is filled with unknowns, or proven failures. Until they show me otherwise I'm not going to count them as magically being better. A good coach can change things, but sometimes, and much of the time drastic change takes more than one year.
4. College production? That is non-sense. The NFL is completely different than the college game. You can't say a player is going to be good in the NFL because he produced in college. How many times have we been proven wrong on this matter? Particularly at the RB position. By this logic Trent Richardson, Lawrence Phillips, Beanie Wells, William Green, and Dayne should have been some of the best backs the NFL has ever seen. You cannot say a player is "proven" because of college statistics. You know better than that. Will our RB position be better? Probably, how much better? Hard to say. Not much info on any of them besides McKissic. Penny could be a bust for all we know, will I think he bust?Not really, but on the same token I can't say that he will light the league on fire either.
5. This sounds nice, but there is no substance here. Even when the Seahawks first burst onto the scene and jettisoned the old guard, we still had a couple of years before we were truly could start thinking about the Super Bowl. We got rid of a lot of talent, and we're replacing much of that talent with young dudes who haven't proven little to anything in the NFL. What is even worse is the Seahawks drafting record over the last few years. Not anything to be excited about. We've had trouble acquiring new talent, which was one of the major reasons why we were in the state that we were in 2017. Will we have some break out players? Maybe, but you can't count on it, and you certainly can't count on the legendary 2012 class to come again.
6. Doug Baldwin is our only proven receiver. Marshall could have a late career revival, it certainly has happened before. What I'm saying is, don't count on it. More often than not situations like this turn sour. This is a coin flip here, I personally think that he is going to be a situational/utility player. I think he can at least be a redzone threat of sorts. If Marshall can't rekindle his flame we really have nobody that is a proven threat on the outside. Lockett is mostly a slot guy, and Darboh only saw the field a few times last year. We know practically nothing about the guy.
7. Did I not mention the kicking game? I think it'll be improved, certainly.
8. Agree
9. Injuries were a big one, for sure. Unfortunately we kicked some of our major talent to the curb for good reasons I think. Hard to say how this new unit will function given what I've mentioned before. A bunch of old vets, and young players. I think this needed to happen, but I am very much looking at this like the 2010-2011 years. I think some of that young talent needs to develop before we get to a Super Bowl. We could get lucky, and everything can work out in our favor, it has happened before. What I am saying is that we have so many variables, and so many events that need to come together, what we really would need is a perfect storm of sorts. I think this year is a reset for Carroll. I think in 2019 we could be a team to be reckoned with if a few players, and key signings go our way -- even with how poorly I think of Schottenheimer.