It’s not a dumb argument at all. Would you rather have Kittle at 19.1 million a season for 4 years or Kupp at 15 million for 3 seasons . I would argue that there are more injury concerns with Kupp
Such a great question, without an easy answer. I see them as roughly equivalent contracts for their positions. It really comes down to the system they are playing in.
On the Seahawks, under Grubb, I’m taking the Kupp contract. Easy answer. On the Niners, under Shanahan, Kittle has proven to be a well-utilized weapon. He’s the obvious pick there.
Kittle’s impact, in the Shanahan system, goes far beyond his production. He opens the field for the receivers and for CMC.
Not to suggest Kupp doesn’t do the same, but I don’t see him having the same impact here, in the Shanahan system, as Kittle.
Until we see how the new offense looks, I think the answer is Kupp. On the other hand, Kubiak utilizes his tight ends similarly to Shanahan, and so the Kittle contract starts to look a little more appealing.
It also depends on the other players on the roster. Seattle needs WR more than TE right now. I would argue so does SF, though Kittle can provide some relief from the lack of talent in the WR pool.
TLDR. Not an easy answer here. Both are reasonable contracts for aging vets. Both have injury concerns. The value of both contracts depends on how the player is intended to be utilized.
Hold my feet to the fire, and, under the Kubiak and Shanahan systems, I’m probably taking on the Kittle contract.