Parallax
Well-known member
- Joined
- Nov 16, 2023
- Messages
- 460
- Reaction score
- 456
You can win a Superbowl with an average QB surrounded by an amazing team. You can win a Superbowl with an amazing QB surrounded by an average team. But you need one or the other. Which way is more likely to lead to success in the relatively near future? Hard to say.I admitted you’re damned either way very often. Why not just go with bird in the hand who gets you to the playoffs consistently (ok brink last year) because the glaring, resounding, obvious deficiency on this team is defense. Swing for the first four rounds to fill those holes and even if 1.5 hit we are a playoffs team next year. Miss on QBOTF and we are so far behind the curve it’s crazy and as i alluded earlier, who knows what dominos then fall to allow divisional teams to fill holes.
I pretty much thought i summed it up when I’ve said Mahomes couldn’t carry this defense to the Super Bowl. That’s a foundational argument to my viewpoint. How many top tier picks can we gamble on QB and still be able to return this defense to even slightly above league average? I say none at this point.
The basics in my book are to make sure that every draft you take the top guy available on your board each time you come up to bat. If that's a QB, great. If not, that's fine too.
Fill in with reasonably priced free agents. That means waiting while teams take big swings on expensive guys. Don't spend money or lose compensatory picks in that part of the process. Wait until everything settles down and your comp picks are safe. Then see who's left.
That might mean signing an undervalued guy like Baker Mayfield last year. It might mean swinging for the fences with a guy like Will Levis.
Know that, whichever direction you go, the odds are long. A team can make up for long odds in part by scheming well, creating a healthy culture, coaching well, pounding the weight room, etc. To win a Superbowl will likely take all of that and some dumb luck.