Agreed but the point I am making is if someone is "likely to be a steal", they wont be a steal because they will be taken earlier. I can't remember but how many of those guys were being talked about as steals before the draft, I doubt any were?What you say is all true and yet there's always mid/late round picks that end up being steals.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Puca Nacua
George Kittle
Maxx Crosby
Fred Warner
Tyreek Hill
To name a few recent steals. Maybe some had red flags, I don't think all. I know Crosby got bigger / stronger and quit partying, not sure about the rest. Some just fall through the cracks.
Our biggest steal, RW3, was considered a reach by almost everyone.