Back when we first started to discuss this, we were wondering if Cal could break Salvador Perez's record for the most HRs by a catcher in a season, 48. Now, that appears to be a certainty.
Knowing Cal, he's going to focus on winning over HRs, so when you factor that in, in addition to pitchers trying to pitch around him, I think the second half of the season is going to be a lot tougher. So I think he'll end up around 55, which will still be a very impressive number.
Note: Cal hit 16 HRs after the All-Star break last year, according to Google AI.