I am not big on drafting a QB in the 1st round if it misses it sets your team back at least 3 years. There is a 75% failure rate. During a recent Thursday night game they had a graphic of the last 18 QBs that were drafted in the 1 st round only 4 are still with the teams that drafted them.We don't know where Geno and Lock will be come draft time nor whether the front office would be happy to have Lock as the main man next season.
A top 3 pick gets you an elite prospect but that doesn't always turn into an elite QB. 2018 had Mayfiled taken at 1 and Darnold at 3, 2017 saw Trubisky taken at 2, 2016 had Goff and Wentz in the top 2 spots, 2015 had Winston and Mariota, 2014 Bortles. None of those would really be classed as Franchise backs.
Hopefully we will get Geno on a long term deal, back-up can then either be Lock, a later round pick or some career back-up, which leave the No 3 pick for something else. We need to sign at least 20 players for next season and having signed Geno we will be tight on cap space so the more rookies we can get the better. If we trade down a couple of times and turn that Number 3 to something like 10 and a couple of 2nd rounders I think our defence can be improved more than getting Carter or Anderson. Of course that requires finding teams that want to trade up.
If Geno is on a franchise tag, we really need to look for our QB of 2024. It might be that Lock is that guy, it should be possible to keep him on a low salary with a big starting bonus, if not then we don't need to spend a top 3 pick on an expected finished article so we can get a QB either with our 1st Round pick or a 2nd / 3rd rounder.
If Geno goes elsewhere, getting a QB early is definately an option but I would still be cool with Lock and a later pick competing for the starting spot.
I think I agree with you though you put the emphasis the other way. We shouldn't pick the best available player if we have no need in that area but neither should we forced ourselves into a single position for each pick.I'm fine with skipping QB entirely in this draft and getting one next year. I have the perfect guy for us all picked out. This year I want to see us get a McDonald clone, another great LB, and the best edge rusher we can find. I don't agree to ignore need for best available athlete. My method would be to pick the best available athlete for my position of need.
Problem is this will be our best opportunity to have a top draft pick where the best available QB’s are. Next year when we make the playoffs we will be picking from the bottom of the draft and not have a top draft pick. It would cost waaaay to much to get a quality QB in trade or trade up in next draft. IMHO I say draft a QB with first first round pick and let him rid behind Geno a year or two. Bring him along and develop him. Then use rest of picks for everything else. Strike while we can. People have complained about our draft picks over the years but we have picked at the bottom of the draft most years. Look at what happens when we get to pick higher up like last year…..I'm fine with skipping QB entirely in this draft and getting one next year. I have the perfect guy for us all picked out. This year I want to see us get a McDonald clone, another great LB, and the best edge rusher we can find. I don't agree to ignore need for best available athlete. My method would be to pick the best available athlete for my position of need.
Close....but of course we have to trade that 3rd, our second rounder, and our 4th rounder for the second pic then trade down for the 5 5th round picks.Trade down for five fifth round picks? Yeah, that's the ticket!
The failure rate on pass rushers is high too.I am not big on drafting a QB in the 1st round if it misses it sets your team back at least 3 years. There is a 75% failure rate. During a recent Thursday night game they had a graphic of the last 18 QBs that were drafted in the 1 st round only 4 are still with the teams that drafted them.
IMO it’s safer to draft for defense and O line and hopefully develop a game manager