you are just picking a stat that helps build your confidence in your team, which is a legitimate thing to do. but to say "statistical breakdowns on that level" have no place in sports is simply ignoring the massive efforts put in by coaches and their staffs in the work they do in: bringing players in, setting up game plans, making adjustments during the game. this is true in every sport by the way. to suggest that a statistically poor team can beat a statistically great team any day so stats dont matter is saying the same thing as a team who creates turnovers lost to a team that gives them away so that stat doesnt matter. youre all over the map in your argument.
also, i dont think Green Bay would be more than a 1 point favorite at home vs. Seattle, and I can see that money switching to even or perhaps Seattle -1 to -2 by kickoff.
One point or 50 point favorites, does it matter? Either would add a victory, but again maybe that's just our difference in the boundaries of statistics we appreciate. I honestly don't think I'm all over the map with my argument, I just don't look as deeply into it as you do. To me the simple things in each game are the biggest difference makers; Did player A get a turnover in the red zone, and did team A follow up with a score? If the answer is yes, give me Team A to win today.
If team A does this consistently, it shows they can continually create this scenario and it builds confidence and this is what Green Bay has been able to do and has done better than Seattle. Does not necessarily mean it will happen on Sunday, but I like the pattern that has been shown.
By that same token I also expect Seattle to allow less yards and Green Bay to give up more yards. But let's take a giant step back to what prompted me bringing up the turnover differential stat anyways; the original responder to my message declared my stat not meaning anything, and I respectfully disagree.