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bigskydoc":2pfe9ce2 said:I don't think the game hinges on Rodgers scanning the field, it hinges on Martellus Bennett and Lance Kendricks.
Rodgers is a special talent. We can talk all day about his accuracy, his mobility, his leadership, but when the rubber meets the road, what really differentiates him from other QBs is his post-snap read. In that split second between the snap, and his first or second step, I think Rodgers reads and diagnoses defenses better than any other QB I have ever seen play.
However, Seattle takes this advantage away. They line up and show you exactly what they are going to do. In terms of pre and post snap reads, every QB is Aaron Rodgers. Beating Seattle, isn't about the reads, it's about the execution.
Teams have proven, time and time again, that the Seattle defense's kryptonite is that tight end attack over the middle. The blueprint was laid out by Frank Reich, and executed to perfection by Rivers and Gates. It has been copied successfully ever since. Even Brady/ Belichick used it in the Super Bowl.
I wouldn't go so far as to say it is the primary reason the Packers went out and secured this tight end tandem, but I do think it had some influence.
Even if we get pressure up the gut, Rodgers can dissect us by dinking and dunking across the middle.
I think the game comes down to this, and, Unless Richard/ Carroll have figured out an answer to the tight end conundrum, I think the Packers come away with the win
13-6 Packers.
You are exactly right Doc -- what you're describing there HAS been a major weakness of the Seahawks Defense for several years now. Those intermediate, over the middle zones HAVE been Seattle's kryptonite -- especially against Tight Ends.
The other real true weakness (that again Brady and Belichick just pummeled us with OVER ... and OVER again against us in Super Bowl XLIX) have been those quick, jitterbug slot receivers (again, right in those same exact intermediate zones). Gronk was 1 issue YES ... but it was Julian Edelman whom the Hawks flat out had no answers for in that Super Bowl after Jeremy Lane went down. There simply wasn't anyone who was quick enough to deal with him. So, teams who have those kind of guys and use them in that way ... have been a real pain in the butt. I'll contend that Edelman was a major reason why Tyler Lockett ended up being drafted the next year -- because Schneider and company recognized the real value in having that kind of a slot receiver and how much damage they could do.
All of that brings me to the personnel decisions that have been made THIS offseason. I will contend that Seattle's historic weakness against TE's (right over the middle) is exactly why the Hawks targeted and brought in Bradley McDougald. They have been extremely excited on him and have talked about the fact that they plan to use him. All this talk about speed (this emphasis on it) has led me (and others) to conclude that they are planning on running a bit of 4-2-5 Defense this year. Our own Rob Staton is one who has concluded the exact same thing.
And it makes a lot of sense of what we've heard and all the personnel moves that have been made this offseason. Take LB out ... insert McDougald in ... and voila!! You've also seen Seattle target and land quicker slot CB's as well -- Justin Coleman, for example. We've heard a lot about this "Cheetah" package that we understand is designed for speed to the ball, so would obviously include Seattle's quicker players.
So, I believe all of that is an attempt by Seattle to counter those weaknesses that have been very apparent (and exploited by other teams) for the past few years. I'm betting that we'll see several new things this Sunday. Will it end up working? [Shrug] Who knows? That remains to be seen. The one thing I DO know this -- I've seen over time that (if you give him time to prepare) Pete Carroll is one who is pretty good at coming up with a fairly effective game plan to take away an opponent's strengths. Should be interesting.