keasley45
Well-known member
DarkVictory23":2ll9b560 said:I'll be honest, it's difficult to parse what you actually are saying here (especially the first sentence), but if we are talking about comparing Hass and Russ passing on 3rd down under Carroll, it doesn't look good for Russ.John63":2ll9b560 said:as has been factually shown in this forum we lead the league in 3rd and long, every team PC has been an HC of in the NFL led the league in 3rd and long. Our conversion on 3rd down was worse under the 2 qbs prior to Wilson to include Hass.
and again all that aside IF and it's a big IF PC, Waldron and Wilson have come to an accord, and based on the last 2 games they might have we should be good, Given we were 63% on 3rd down.
For one, right off the bat, we should clarify that Matthew, even though he's my favorite Seahawk ever so it hurts me to say this, wasn't elite on converting on 3rd down in clear passing situations (which I define as 4 or more yards... basically when the D is going to play the pass more than the run). He was just slightly above NFL average for his career (just like Russ).
However, in 2010, in those 3rd down passing distance situations, when the Seahawks put it on Hass to convert with his arm, he did it 39% of the time compared to the NFL average of 32% of the time. In the mid-range situations (4-6 yards), where Russ gets most of his specific criticism, Hasselbeck converted 59% of the time, far and away better than the NFL average of 41% that year and both numbers easily surpassing his career average.
So, acutally, under Carroll, Matt did FAR better converting on 3rd down as a passer than he usually did, so no, Pete's philosophy didn't 'hold him back' in those circumstances.
And again, career for career, Matt and Russ convert in those circumstances about equally which, as I said, is just above NFL average. However, this year, in those circumstances, Russ as a passer converted below average on 3rd and 4+ and if you focus on 3rd and mid-range passing situations, Russ was WAY below the NFL average, scraping the bottom of the barrel. (He very well might have been the worst starter in the league).
So far, the best rate I can find for Russ converting on 3rd down passing situations is 2015... when the Seahawks were still near the bottom of the league in pass attempts and near the top of the league in rushing attempts. In other words, Russ does BEST as a passer when him throwing the ball isn't the engine that drives the offense.
Any team that wants the 'best' version of Russ is probably going to have do some version of the dreaded "Pete-Ball" to get it.
Helluva post, dude.