Attyla the Hawk
Well-known member
- Joined
- Mar 11, 2013
- Messages
- 2,559
- Reaction score
- 47
Hawkscanner":4cif5dv5 said:I think that if I'm completely honest with myself, I have to admit that I'm probably more in love with the IDEA of DGB and what he could be. And as is often the case with our infatuations, sometimes we have a tendency to overlook glaring flaws that we shouldn't. Back in 1998, Bobby Beathard (GM of the Chargers) ignored all of the warning signs that were screaming at him in the face and drafted Ryan Leaf anyway. The Raiders did the same thing with Todd Marinovich in 1991 ... and the Browns last year with Johnny Manziel.
Back in 2001, Mike Holmgren believed that he could rescue Koren Robinson from his demons as well. And if I'm honest with myself that's what I see when I look at DGB -- another Koren Robinson. I've worked with a lot of kids who have backgrounds similar to DGB and I know that if I were a team looking in invest my 1st Round pick in to a player, I'd be extremely wary.
We could go the other way though, and put forth risky prospects that excelled (Bryant, Moss, Sapp) too.
Ultimately, what occurred with previous prospects doesn't really apply to the next individual. And I think if we're being honest, we'll agree that ultimately there is no lesson to be applied here.
And every one of those comparisons aren't truly fair. Every one of those were early picks of bad teams that really couldn't afford to throw away draft capital like that. The pain isn't so much as the fact you missed, but what you probably should have gained had you not taken that risk. Those cases only serve to embellish a fear of risk that shouldn't be applied when talking about the last few picks of the draft.
The pick, in terms of actual risk to expected reward, is so much less at 20 or above. Jimmy Smith, Tim Tebow, Dez Bryant etc. All the kinds of prospects who were warty for various reasons (character or just ability). Sometimes they work, sometimes they don't. The real question is, is the upside potential worth the risk. Comparing what's available -- that may or may not be the case.
Seattle could have two risk options available (Gurley/DGB). Would be interesting if they roll the dice a bit for upside. That's kind of been their MO in 2012/2013. Obviously the interview process will be huge. Something we won't have any insight into.