Here's what i think i think, and what i think i thought i saw... as it relates to the poor o-line performance and 'poor' showing in general.
1. Confidence - Seahawks 0, Carolina 1. The Seahawks have none when it comes to their own ability to win a 10am start. The players feel it, the coaches know it and i believe the coaches, particularly on offense, cooked up a conservative gameplan that limited opportunities for mental errors / lapses and miscommunication. This would explain why we did very little in the way of audibles to counter carolina's shifts and seeming recognition of what we were running. I think it may have been a case of ' if we execute, we have a chance at success despite what the D might be doing...' rather than running the more exotic stuff that might have a higher reward, but carries greater risk. One or two mental lapses on the road, on opening day, with a bullseye on your back, in a game you are supposed to win, can turn things south in a hurry. To me, it was the same approach we employed last year when we lacked confidence in our rookie QB. Call it conservative, execute and slug it out to a win.... a counter-puncher's philosophy. Trouble is, success is all predicated on execution, which is already compromised by the brain farts that tend to occur at 10am and... Exhibit 2.
2.Conditioning - Seahawks 0, Carolina 1. Nobody experiences the effects of playing in the heat more than the big heavies. This can be mitigated against - for a while - by crafty playcalling, extreme confidence and aggression (particularly the kind you get when you've been told all week that the trendy pick to win the SB is going to come in and stomp you on opening day... and that that same trendy pick is the team you thought you should have beat last year in your house ). Carolina was amped. We lacked confidence, were conservative, hot, and out of shape. Having one guy out of sync or out of sorts on the o-line against an angry team with a chip on its shoulder that's coming after you on every down can turn things quickly and make you look bad. We got winded pretty quick (particularly Carp) which effected not only what we called, but also how we executed ... and probably to a certain extent, what we put in the playbook this week to begin with. It didnt take a genius to look at the tape of the last preseason game to see that Carpenter was going to be a liability going into yesterday. I think our surge in the 4th qtr was less about us turning it up than it was about them losing the aggression and adrenaline they were running on all day, realizing that even as well as they played, they weren't going to break us and that we were in all likelihood going to walk out with a W. So, when they lost their edge and started gasping for air like we were all day, the playing field was first leveled, and then tilted in our favor as we gained a second wind from the boost of confidence we got in taking the lead and then holding it.
3. Strategy - Seahawks 1, 49ers 0. Might be the conspiracy theorist in me but i cant help but to think that in addition to playing it safe to limit errors and secure an important week 1, road win, Pete was also looking ahead to this week at home, against the 49ers. If i was the coach, i certainly would be. Its obvious that the 9ers have the inside track to win the division and again represent the NFC in the SB. Somehow the schedulers saw fit to give them all of their most difficult opponents at home, where we have to play them on the road. How that can happen when they were SB runners up, i dont know, but that's a topic for another time. Anyway, i think a good bit of the vanilla, uninspiring play was Pete playing his cards close, not trying to show too much. There's SO much riding on the this week and as much as i hate Harbaugh, the guy is a good coach and would try to exploit any info he got from our film. We basically got a win without giving the 9ers anything of value. Also, Pete knows that we have to win 4 road contests to hopefully lock up the division (assuming one of them is against the 9ers and we have the same success at home that we had last year). So, play to win. If its boring, no matter. If its ugly, so what? Get the W... 3 more to go. Might sound like an odd way of looking at the season, but when you have a team that is as dominant at home as we are, it really comes down to going .500 on the road to win the division and hopefully lock up the bye. Having a defense as stout as ours allows you the flexibility to think this way. I also tend to believe the coaching staff might have been concerned that carolina might be able to exploit the fact that we were missing key players on defense. I think that had they been able to drum up more than 7 points, we might have seen a slightly more aggressive offensive display. But thankfully, it never came to that.
Final score ->> Carolina 2, Seattle 0 - and we still won
Bigger picture -> 49ers 0, Seattle 1 - going into a huge game on Sunday night
So, as far as the O-line goes, i think it came down to a number of factors that had to do more with the team and the gravity of the situation than any flaw on our o-line that didn't already exist. That being said, Carpenter's play was a factor, and a big one given his importance along the line. I think the play calling was intentionally vanilla, recognizing we had the superior team and talent and the ability to 'counter-punch' our way to a win - safest way to deal with our 10am demons and an opponent who is out for blood and conditioned to play in the heat. Finally, i think some of what we saw was a result of Pete intentionally avoiding anything in our playbook that would tip off the 9ers as to our approach for Sunday night. It might sound like a stretch to some, but i think the last point is a major one. This season comes down to beating the 9ers at home and winning 4 road games (minimum) - holding ground at home being assumed. Of those games, Carolina, Houston, Indy, Atlanta and the Giants (5 of the 8) are 10am starts. Of that list, Carolina was THE must win. As it stands, the W puts us at a very reasonable 9 wins, again, assuming we hold serve at home. Add in road victories at Arizona and St Louis (both late starts) and we are at 11 wins. The entire 2013 season then essentially comes down to Houston, Indy, Atlanta and the Giants. If we split those 10am starts, even if we lose to the 9ers at their place, we still finish at... wait for it, 13 - 3. Going undefeated at home is VERY doable. Of all of our home opponents this year, I only see the Saints as a real threat.
The 9ers on the other hand have only two 10am starts, @ the Bucs and Jags. Not likely they'll have trouble there. Granted, anything can happen on Sunday, but their only potential road L's include vs us, @ the Redskins and @ the Saints. They do get the Panthers,Texans, us and the Falcons at home, so there's a reasonable chance they drop one or two there, or when the Colts come to visit, but other than that there isnt a whole lot there to stop them.. So, say we beat them at home and they lose to either the Redskins or the Saints + drop one to either us, Panthers (not likely), the Texans, or Falcons at home. That leaves them at 13-3. Its hard to envision them being a whole lot worse, although the Rams seem to play them well. Us getting to 13-3 was a lot harder without the W yesterday... just not the same margin for error.
I really think yesterday was a 'play safe for the W' proposition. It was simply too big a game given the context of the season. Its an approach we might see repeated again when we see Houston, Indy, Atlanta and the Giants later this year. If so, thats fine with me, as long as we get out with a W.