Idk dude, turning the Bryce young pick into dj Moore putting up 1350/8 in his mid 20s, two firsts and two seconds, including the first pick of rounds 1/2 this year, seems like a VERY strange reason to think he's going to mess the 1st pick up this time.
Even knowing how stroud turned out once pro, I can't look at the return and say it was a bad trade, especially since you might get a kings ransom for 1.1 again this year (dunno why you're sure he's taking Caleb given he traded out last year)
EDIT: I can't even look at the pick usage last year and call it a mediocre trade, I'd be ecstatic if he did it again