Colin Cowherd Blazin 5

Kixkahn

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peachesenregalia":2nnlcdmb said:
13thMan":2nnlcdmb said:
I'm shocked that Cowherd included this pick given that he is a huge Seattle homer! I guess when it comes to the greenbacks, he pulls no punches. Now all that being said, he was very good last year and made me a lot of money. With that, I have taken a $300 flier on Carolina and the points, thus offsetting any emotional letdown from the loss, should that occur.... lol (And yes, I did put $300 on his other 4 picks also, just to be clear)...

Am I the only one sort of disgusted by this? I would NEVER bet against the Seahawks, and no amount of money gained from their defeat would offset the emotional let-down.
No you are not the only one. I agree with you absolutely nauseating.
 

mikeak

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mrblitz":153366sn said:
so he's 71% against the spread? not bad. given the vig, what's the break-even?... around 60%?

"Not bad" they have a competition in Vegas where they keep track of this and towards the end of last season Cowherd was smoking everyone on the board...

In regards to betting for or against your team. I love to bet - I limit myself to what I can afford but I have a personal rule.

Don't bet for or against my team - why? Because I can't take the emotional investment out of in regards to how good I think they are, should be etc etc. If I was able to do that then I would bet on my team. I follow them I know more about them and should be better positioned to make money of my knowledge. My betting on or against a team does unfortunately not impact the outcome.........
 

formido

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13thMan":rogxp50h said:
I'm shocked that Cowherd included this pick given that he is a huge Seattle homer! I guess when it comes to the greenbacks, he pulls no punches. Now all that being said, he was very good last year and made me a lot of money. With that, I have taken a $300 flier on Carolina and the points, thus offsetting any emotional letdown from the loss, should that occur.... lol (And yes, I did put $300 on his other 4 picks also, just to be clear)...

That may protect you emotionally, but you didn't take the emotion out of the decision. Analytically, you don't bet against Russell Wilson. Wilson is now 21-5 against the spread, including preseason and postseason. If I'm doing the math right, that's better than Cowherd's 71% prediction rate last year.

[source: http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/co ... ory/24239/][1]

[1] He's now beat the spread two more times since this article was published.
 

Chukarhawk

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hawker84":1731s28k said:
With the news that Mebane, Avril, Mcdaniel, and Bennett are all expected to suit up sunday, i'm going to have to disagree with this one, i like Cowherd but i think he's got this one wrong.
Avril isnt going to play
 

rideaducati

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I see the road woes as a thing of the past. Hasselbeck was too emotional and would let things get to him too easily and Tarvaris was just not a good qb. It's funny though, the niner road record in the past 10 seasons is STILL worse than the Seahawks road record.
 

rideaducati

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I see the road woes as a thing of the past. Hasselbeck was too emotional and would let things get to him too easily and Tarvaris was just not a good qb. It's funny though, the niner road record in the past 10 seasons is STILL worse than the Seahawks road record.
 

mrblitz

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with 10% vig, isn't the break-even actually 55%?

say you made 100, $1 bets. you'd have to pay $110. so, you'd have to win 55 to get your 110 back. is that right?

anyway, it is indeed impressive that he can get 71%, where he picks 5 games week in and week out. in 'real life', you'd have some weeks with only 1 or 2 (or 0) games worth betting on, whereas on certain weeks, you might possibly see more than 5 worth betting on. so, keeping it on an even keel, and picking 5 games every week... and getting 71%... i can see how it turned out he was way ahead of everyone else.
 
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