89% of Houston's points have come against bottom-12 defenses.
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Will be intriguing to see to what degree Sherman shuts this down. Will Fuller is also having a nice rookie season, so there's somewhere else Watson can go. Shaq will get burned by that a few times. After that, though, their offensive skill chart drops off the face of the planet. Watson will need to make hay with his other targets or face getting pummeled. He might. I'm not sleeping on him. But we've already shut down an even more productive offense than this.
On defense, we have yet to see how they adapt without Watt, Mercilus, AND LB Dylan Cole (who was also having a solid rookie push). They held the Browns to 17 points without those guys, but that doesn't mean anything. Should Pete be willing to let Wilson rip in the first half, he should be able to find targets quickly and neutralize whatever pass rush they have left. Or Pete might go "Oh, hey, Wilson won't be under pressure, SEVEN STEP DROPS UNTIL I'M TIRED!!!" Who knows.
I dunno. I get the sense that Houston is a pretender (or injury casualty) waiting to be exposed. I'll make my prediction a little closer than I really want to, due to Pete's usual self-destructive tendencies.
HOU 14
SEA 23
RTD: 3-3