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  1. AgentDib

    If you could do it again...

    Verse looks like an absolute hit and so it would be crazy not to take him in hindsight. That being said, if we had access to perfect information then we'd do everything differently so it's kind of a moot point. It's hard to fault the logic in taking Murphy where we did.
  2. AgentDib

    Geno cap hit vs. Me3 cap hit before trade.

    Taking money from the future needs to be justified on a case by case basis. Would we be better off this year if we hadn't borrowed 2025 money to fund a 2024 campaign where we missed the playoffs anyway? That seems pretty obvious. Nwosu, Fant, and Jones alone combined for 26m cap in 2024 and...
  3. AgentDib

    Best bridge QB for 2025

    It makes sense to me to keep Geno on the existing deal for one year at the incremental price tag of $31m. He's worth a little more than that probably. My concern is that the front office has an incentive to sign him to an extension so they can lower this year's cap hit and borrow from the...
  4. AgentDib

    With the 18th pick…

    For those who are interested, here's where each team got their current OL starter next to the PFF Pass Block (Pb)/Run Block(Rb) scores.
  5. AgentDib

    With the 18th pick…

    Of course, and my point is only referring to draft capital. It's true that we haven't paid OL, but how much of that is because the OL we have drafted haven't really been worth big extensions? It's more that we're drafting the wrong people rather than not drafting the position, and taking a...
  6. AgentDib

    With the 18th pick…

    Many fans overestimate how many high draft picks are on the average offensive line. NFL teams do not need a line full of first and second round picks in order to be adequate. It's more important to find the right players and surround them with a good scheme, development and coaching. Look at...
  7. AgentDib

    Dead Money and 2024 Cap

    John stated in interviews last spring that he had received more power in his latest contract extension (Jan '21) and that not much had changed in his process since Pete was let go. Every HC and GM have a collaborative relationship barring the few dysfunctional examples where parties were...
  8. AgentDib

    BREAKING NEWS: OC Ryan Grubb fired after 1 year

    MacDonald has the green light to make any changes he wants to the coaching staff because the buck stops with him when it comes to coaching and play calling. Head coach is fundamentally a management job and so you can't critique their performance unless they have the authority to make management...
  9. AgentDib

    Would JS really let Jones walk?

    Jones is worth a lot to this defense but it isn't infinite. Once a player hits free agency they have a great chance of getting overpaid due to the winner's curse. The player takes the best offer from all 32 teams while the odds are that the correct evaluation was somewhere in the middle. I do...
  10. AgentDib

    Cowherd "Seattle should trade for JJ McCarthy"

    That's the part that I'm skeptical about and it depends on if you think the Vikings are good evaluators of talent. The difference in expected contracts between Darnold and McCarthy next season is tremendous and it only makes sense for them to pay Darnold huge QB money if they think the...
  11. AgentDib

    Cowherd "Seattle should trade for JJ McCarthy"

    Reminds me of the Groucho Marx quote "I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member." Many people think that the Vikings have the best combination of offensive weapons, OL and offensive minded head coach in the NFL. I very much doubt that KOC would be suddenly willing to shop a QB...
  12. AgentDib

    Aros’ Season Finale Fearless Prediction Thread (@ Rams)

    The Seahawks are heavy favorites according to Vegas now and I can't really see them dropping this one. The Rams aren't just sitting Stafford but also Kupp, Nacua and a bunch of other vets. They are maximizing their availability for their home playoff game and not caring about this game...
  13. AgentDib

    Cap Hits 2025

    Where I agree with you is that dead money is a sunk cost and as such does not factor into future decisions. It's still part of what he is costing the team, however, and does factor into how valuable his contract is for discussion purposes.
  14. AgentDib

    Cap Hits 2025

    Agreed. The value a player provides in any single year is the contribution in that year minus his cap hit in that year. A player provides negative value if they are overpaid and positive value if they are underpaid. Playing young QBs is a dominant strategy to gain long-term value in the NFL...
  15. AgentDib

    PFF's opinion on Murphy

    I watch PFF's content fairly often to get general opinions about other teams and players. The main problem with their scores is that fans interpret them as something they are not. Listen to their explanation of the Vikings/Seahawks scores last week and you'll hear them provide context to...
  16. AgentDib

    Staying Alive For Dummies

    I think it's more just a misunderstanding where people think if those games work out today then all we need to do is beat the Rams next week. The problem is that those are the minimum for us to stay alive this weekend assuming all 9 games go in our favor next week. Even if everything had gone...
  17. AgentDib

    Staying Alive For Dummies

    The problem is that while it's possible that we won't be eliminated today, that assumes a ton of games next week go our way as well. That's somewhere between 0% and 1% probable. For the Seahawks to "still be in it" after this weekend we need three of: 10am: Jets over Bills 1pm: Dolphins over...
  18. AgentDib

    Poll: The Biggest Problem On Offense Is…

    The biggest problem is our red zone offense and our key problem there is not having a running game that we believe in. The coverage gets much tighter in the red zone and if you can't or won't run the ball then you get exactly what we've seen this season. There's room enough to spread the...
  19. AgentDib

    Geno Smith

    Geno has been a good asset this year providing surplus value over his cap hit. It's not insane Russ rookie contract value, but don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good. Sam Howell did not look like even a backup caliber NFL QB in this same offense. At the same time, the FO does need...
  20. AgentDib

    Abe Lucas's return and the O-line

    It will be huge for this team if Abe can continue to be available. Abe, Olu and Haynes are playing for a combined 3.4m cap hit this season on rookie contracts. When we get production from them then our roster value skyrockets and suddenly we can afford a few big contracts (Geno, DK, Williams)...

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