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  1. AgentDib

    With the 18th pick…

    Many fans overestimate how many high draft picks are on the average offensive line. NFL teams do not need a line full of first and second round picks in order to be adequate. It's more important to find the right players and surround them with a good scheme, development and coaching. Look at...
  2. AgentDib

    Dead Money and 2024 Cap

    John stated in interviews last spring that he had received more power in his latest contract extension (Jan '21) and that not much had changed in his process since Pete was let go. Every HC and GM have a collaborative relationship barring the few dysfunctional examples where parties were...
  3. AgentDib

    BREAKING NEWS: OC Ryan Grubb fired after 1 year

    MacDonald has the green light to make any changes he wants to the coaching staff because the buck stops with him when it comes to coaching and play calling. Head coach is fundamentally a management job and so you can't critique their performance unless they have the authority to make management...
  4. AgentDib

    Would JS really let Jones walk?

    Jones is worth a lot to this defense but it isn't infinite. Once a player hits free agency they have a great chance of getting overpaid due to the winner's curse. The player takes the best offer from all 32 teams while the odds are that the correct evaluation was somewhere in the middle. I do...
  5. AgentDib

    Cowherd "Seattle should trade for JJ McCarthy"

    That's the part that I'm skeptical about and it depends on if you think the Vikings are good evaluators of talent. The difference in expected contracts between Darnold and McCarthy next season is tremendous and it only makes sense for them to pay Darnold huge QB money if they think the...
  6. AgentDib

    Cowherd "Seattle should trade for JJ McCarthy"

    Reminds me of the Groucho Marx quote "I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member." Many people think that the Vikings have the best combination of offensive weapons, OL and offensive minded head coach in the NFL. I very much doubt that KOC would be suddenly willing to shop a QB...
  7. AgentDib

    Aros’ Season Finale Fearless Prediction Thread (@ Rams)

    The Seahawks are heavy favorites according to Vegas now and I can't really see them dropping this one. The Rams aren't just sitting Stafford but also Kupp, Nacua and a bunch of other vets. They are maximizing their availability for their home playoff game and not caring about this game...
  8. AgentDib

    Cap Hits 2025

    Where I agree with you is that dead money is a sunk cost and as such does not factor into future decisions. It's still part of what he is costing the team, however, and does factor into how valuable his contract is for discussion purposes.
  9. AgentDib

    Cap Hits 2025

    Agreed. The value a player provides in any single year is the contribution in that year minus his cap hit in that year. A player provides negative value if they are overpaid and positive value if they are underpaid. Playing young QBs is a dominant strategy to gain long-term value in the NFL...
  10. AgentDib

    PFF's opinion on Murphy

    I watch PFF's content fairly often to get general opinions about other teams and players. The main problem with their scores is that fans interpret them as something they are not. Listen to their explanation of the Vikings/Seahawks scores last week and you'll hear them provide context to...
  11. AgentDib

    Staying Alive For Dummies

    I think it's more just a misunderstanding where people think if those games work out today then all we need to do is beat the Rams next week. The problem is that those are the minimum for us to stay alive this weekend assuming all 9 games go in our favor next week. Even if everything had gone...
  12. AgentDib

    Staying Alive For Dummies

    The problem is that while it's possible that we won't be eliminated today, that assumes a ton of games next week go our way as well. That's somewhere between 0% and 1% probable. For the Seahawks to "still be in it" after this weekend we need three of: 10am: Jets over Bills 1pm: Dolphins over...
  13. AgentDib

    Poll: The Biggest Problem On Offense Is…

    The biggest problem is our red zone offense and our key problem there is not having a running game that we believe in. The coverage gets much tighter in the red zone and if you can't or won't run the ball then you get exactly what we've seen this season. There's room enough to spread the...
  14. AgentDib

    Geno Smith

    Geno has been a good asset this year providing surplus value over his cap hit. It's not insane Russ rookie contract value, but don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good. Sam Howell did not look like even a backup caliber NFL QB in this same offense. At the same time, the FO does need...
  15. AgentDib

    Abe Lucas's return and the O-line

    It will be huge for this team if Abe can continue to be available. Abe, Olu and Haynes are playing for a combined 3.4m cap hit this season on rookie contracts. When we get production from them then our roster value skyrockets and suddenly we can afford a few big contracts (Geno, DK, Williams)...
  16. AgentDib

    Can MM make JS a better GM?

    Of course we are here in part because "they" thought the grass WAS greener. Schneider was obviously sticking to the company line when he said that the team underachieved last year and was too talented to finish only 9-8. The problem is that from the outside we really don't know who "they" are...
  17. AgentDib

    Schneider Doesn't Deserve This Much Hate

    I'm with Schneider on not overpaying IOL (or any position). There's a big gulf between what many here think a center is worth and what they are actually worth. His drafting has also been fine over the years given our lack of draft capital. There are too many examples of teams hitting a draft...
  18. AgentDib

    hiring a college OC may have been a mistake...

    I don't think we're disagreeing. From that same article: "However, play-action isn’t a catch all in all situations. The threat of the run has to be present. Running play-action on 3rd and 10 isn’t as impactful as running it on 3rd and short." Perception is what matters, not reality, and NFL...
  19. AgentDib

    hiring a college OC may have been a mistake...

    In my view it's not about how much you actually run the ball, but whether opposing defenses have to respect you running the ball. Rushing success rate is probably the right stat to look at vs. YPA which is influenced by breakaway runs or rushing totals which depend on volume. Do you agree with...
  20. AgentDib

    Dodson expected to be released

    Completely fair point and thus far this last offseason has very few successes. It is worth bearing in mind that if you end up hitting eventually then how many previous misses you had isn't that important. You just have to take more swings to make up for the lower accuracy rate. We started out...

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