Hasselbeck":1f8zit83 said:
Toka.. I sort of get what you're trying to do... but I'm sorry... this is terrible :lol:
Not to mention.. your "system" finishes with a league record of 242-270 .. so no.. its not mathematical at all. You're just taking predictions that were off to begin with, and now multiplying win totals by random digits.
Sigh... I guess I'm just on a different plane mentally than pretty much 80% of the people who commented on this thread.
My predictions were probably better than anyone else on this forum to begin with for each teams win total, but I guess we'll never know since nobody else on this forum has the nuts to throw down a league wide win prediction... everyone who has commented on my original prediction now looks silly because my prediction has been way better than the national media guys for the most part... (Saints only exception so far but I expect them to rally hard and prove me right)...
LITERALLY EVERY SINGLE PERSON WHO DOESN'T UNDERSTAND HOW THE TOTALS DON'T ADD UP TO THE EXACT TOTALS FOR 100's of games this season... I feel sorry for you
I PREDICTED THESE TOTALS BY STRAIGHT UP INSTINCT LOOKING AT EACH TEAM'S SCHEDULE....
THAT MEANS THAT THE WHOLE ORIGINAL POST TOOK ABOUT 15 MINUTES, YOU ARE SUGGESTING THAT I SHOULD SPEND HOURS TO MAKE SURE IT MATCHES UP PERFECTLY WITH EACH AND EVERY GAME THE ENTIRE SEASON....
YOU ARE SERIOUSLY ASKING TOO MUCH, I'M SORRY THAT YOU CAN'T UNDERSTAND THIS INCREDIBLY SIMPLE POST I'VE SET FORTH FOR THE BENEFIT OF OUR COMMUNITY.
THE GREEN WIN PREDICTIONS ARE BASICALLY AS FAIR AS YOU COULD POSSIBLY PROJECT THE WIN TOTALS. I COULD OF MULTIPLIED THE BYE TEAMS BY 4 SO THEY WOULD HAVE A TOTAL OF EXACTLY 16 BUT THAT WOULD BE UNFAIR TO THE MAJORITY NON-BYE TEAMS WHO ARE MISSING A GAME IN THIS PROJECTION.
SIMPLY PUT THESE GREEN NUMBER PROJECTIONS ARE LITERALLY THE MOST ACCURATE PROJECTION YOU COULD POSSIBLY HAVE MATHEMATICALLY AT THIS POINT.
I DOUBLE DOGGY DARE YOU TO PROVE ME WRONG (my green projections are the best you can possibly do at this point for the ENTIRE NFL)...
AND I STILL AM CONFIDENT THAT MY ORIGINAL WIN PREDICTIONS WHERE I TOOK 1 SINGLE GLANCE AT EACH TEAM'S SCHEDULE AND PREDICTED THEIR WIN TOTAL IS PRETTY DANG ACCURATE, WAY BETTER THAN ANYONE I'VE SEEN WHETHER IN PROFESSIONAL MEDIA OR FAN FORUMS...
THE MAJORITY OF THE GREEN MATHEMATICALLY 100% ACCURATE PROJECTIONS ARE CLOSE TO MY PREDICTIONS AND I STILL SUSPECT THE TEAMS THAT ARE OVER MY ORIGINAL PREDICTIONS TO FALL BY THE END OF THE SEASON, AND THE ONES THAT ARE BEHIND WILL RISE. IN OTHER WORDS IM STILL 100% CONFIDENT IN MY Week 1 Power Rankings/ win TOTALS. I don't care who doubts me...
If you think my math is off consider a team that is 2-2 right now and had a bye week. According to my formula:
A TEAM THAT IS 2-2:
2 Wins x 3 = 6 wins total (green number)...
+2 for bye week = 8 wins (green number)...
So a 2-2 team that has a bye week in my projection comes out to exactly 8 wins which is mathematically correct in my formula....
2-2 = 8-8 in this formula...
I'm not gonna multiply the bye weeks by 4 even though it would equal exactly 16 as the projected games, it's not fair to 75% of the teams that are still at a 15 game win total under these formulas....
So basically what I'm saying is UR WRONG... this is mathematically the closest prediction you could get for the ENTIRE LEAGUE... I'm not trying to favor bye teams this is legit math...
UR clearly not a "careful" thinker on this topic, so if you can't understand simple math and statistics just don't comment, nothing I did here was wrong... People who don't understand I'm sorry to say aren't thinking hard enough.