It's one of the reasons why I don't get too crazy about the draft. I mean, I look at mocks, prospect profiles, occasionally do a little deeper dive into watching a player's tape, and do get excited on draft day. But I don't pretend to have any expertise about how college players might pan out in the NFL. Even the people who know a hell of a lot more than I do get it wrong a lot. Take the top QB's in the coming draft. I have barely a clue as to who really might pan out at the next level.
There are only like 3-4 players in the coming draft who I feel somewhat confident are going to be quality NFL players, rather than merely average, below expectations, or busts. I do think this year is a particularly difficult year in that regard.