Shock2k
New member
I'm interested to know how good folks think the Seahawks will be this year, but from a more "scientific" perspective. I figure we can do this by estimating the average points offense/defense they will have by the end of the season.
My prediction (Defense is points against, offense is points for the team... obviously)
Offense: 28 Avg Points Scored
(Highest in the past 10 years was the Saints in 2011, which averaged 34.7 points a game)
(The Seahawks were #10 in 2012 averaging 25.8 per game. Which is great considering our rookie QB and the "training wheels" first half of the season.)
Defense: 15 Avg Points Against
(Lowest in the past 10 years was the Ravens in 2006, who averaged 12.7 points against)
(The Seahawks were #1 in 2012, averaging 16.1 points against)
Anyone think the Hawks will actually be better than the Saints or the Ravens?
2013 Defensive Thoughts:
I think most of us would agree our pass rush was bad against decent offensive lines last year. Opponent O-Line Game plan: block Chris Clemons. This was never more pronounced then when we played Atlanta and Washington. Sure as teams got tired we did well, but we were not one of the top teams in 1rst and 2nd quarter defense:
Hawks Points Against per Quarter (2012):
1rst Quarter: 4.2 (11th) (SF was 12th)
2nd Quarter: 5.2 (6th) (SF was 2nd)
3rd Quarter: 2.7 (2nd) (SF was 4th)
4th Quarter: 3.9 (2nd) (SF was 11th)
The point being we were a much better second half defensive team. Will the additions of Avril and Bennet, a new defensive scheme (coordinator) going to make a significant difference? Well with the secondary we have (adding Winfield), plus seasoning of Wagner and KJ, do we have the higher potential for "coverage sacks" and QB Pressures? I would argue yes.
And with just a little more pressure on opposing QB's we should be, scary to think, a much better defense. Further it would be nice to increase those first half defensive stats. Which I also think is a possibility.
2013 Offensive Thoughts(No pun intended):
I'm going to take a real liberty here and say the Seahawks Strength of Schedule will be the same as last year (technically it is, we had the 11th stongest schedule in 2012, and by what I read, we are 11th again this year). Though arguments can be made for (and have been made) for where/who/when we are playing on the road.
Harvin is an absolute beast. By no means should we expect that he will be playing for the whole season, but I will be interested to see how is health will be affected by the Seahawks excellent conditioning program. Even if Harvin can help us half the season, this could pay dividends in points scored in the season overall.
Beyond this, the most important factor is depth at key positions, especially adding Michael as a backup to Lynch. This was a key pickup as it mitigates a disaster at running back. By no means am I saying Michael is at the same level of talent as Lynch, but with the progress at QB we could maintain a high level of play even with the loss of lynch.
As far as rookies and free agents at TE, WR, O-Line, I have no idea. Personally I would like to see how all that plays out through the pre-season.
But our offense should show significant improvements over the 2012 season.
Historic Information:
http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/points-per-game
http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/op ... s-per-game
My prediction (Defense is points against, offense is points for the team... obviously)
Offense: 28 Avg Points Scored
(Highest in the past 10 years was the Saints in 2011, which averaged 34.7 points a game)
(The Seahawks were #10 in 2012 averaging 25.8 per game. Which is great considering our rookie QB and the "training wheels" first half of the season.)
Defense: 15 Avg Points Against
(Lowest in the past 10 years was the Ravens in 2006, who averaged 12.7 points against)
(The Seahawks were #1 in 2012, averaging 16.1 points against)
Anyone think the Hawks will actually be better than the Saints or the Ravens?
2013 Defensive Thoughts:
I think most of us would agree our pass rush was bad against decent offensive lines last year. Opponent O-Line Game plan: block Chris Clemons. This was never more pronounced then when we played Atlanta and Washington. Sure as teams got tired we did well, but we were not one of the top teams in 1rst and 2nd quarter defense:
Hawks Points Against per Quarter (2012):
1rst Quarter: 4.2 (11th) (SF was 12th)
2nd Quarter: 5.2 (6th) (SF was 2nd)
3rd Quarter: 2.7 (2nd) (SF was 4th)
4th Quarter: 3.9 (2nd) (SF was 11th)
The point being we were a much better second half defensive team. Will the additions of Avril and Bennet, a new defensive scheme (coordinator) going to make a significant difference? Well with the secondary we have (adding Winfield), plus seasoning of Wagner and KJ, do we have the higher potential for "coverage sacks" and QB Pressures? I would argue yes.
And with just a little more pressure on opposing QB's we should be, scary to think, a much better defense. Further it would be nice to increase those first half defensive stats. Which I also think is a possibility.
2013 Offensive Thoughts(No pun intended):
I'm going to take a real liberty here and say the Seahawks Strength of Schedule will be the same as last year (technically it is, we had the 11th stongest schedule in 2012, and by what I read, we are 11th again this year). Though arguments can be made for (and have been made) for where/who/when we are playing on the road.
Harvin is an absolute beast. By no means should we expect that he will be playing for the whole season, but I will be interested to see how is health will be affected by the Seahawks excellent conditioning program. Even if Harvin can help us half the season, this could pay dividends in points scored in the season overall.
Beyond this, the most important factor is depth at key positions, especially adding Michael as a backup to Lynch. This was a key pickup as it mitigates a disaster at running back. By no means am I saying Michael is at the same level of talent as Lynch, but with the progress at QB we could maintain a high level of play even with the loss of lynch.
As far as rookies and free agents at TE, WR, O-Line, I have no idea. Personally I would like to see how all that plays out through the pre-season.
But our offense should show significant improvements over the 2012 season.
Historic Information:
http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/points-per-game
http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/op ... s-per-game
