One more win gets us in

[BlueTalons]

My take on the playoff picture and the understanding of tiebreakers for wild-cards. This only comes down to if we finish 10-6 and there are NO games that result in a TIE. Obviously we are AT WORST the #5 with TWO wins.

Dallas, NY, Washington, Minnesota, and Chicago are ALL in the hunt at 8-6 and can finish NO BETTER than 10-6. ALL other teams with better records will win their division.

We KNOW that either Dallas or Washington will finish with at BEST 9-7 because they play each other week 17. So that leave ONLY the Giants as the only possible 10-6 Wild-Card team from the East as they lose all of the tie-breakers for division title.

ALSO, it is possible that Chicago AND Minnesota finish at 10-6. Minnesota would eliminate Chicago in the first step of any tie based on Division record (the first step in the tiebreaker with 3 or more teams is to eliminate the ties in each division.)

That means there are these possible combinations of teams we could be in three way 10-6 tie with:
New York, Minnesota
New York, Chicago

And since New York would have the better conference record, they would be the # 5 seed and since we beat both Chicago and Minnesota, we would take the #6.

This is the worst case scenario if we finish 10-6. Does not matter if that win comes against SF or St. Louis to get to 10.

Someone correct me if I am off on this...

 

[IBleedBlueAndGreen]

We are in the playoffs with one more win no matter what. We are guaranteed the number 5 seed at worst if we beat San Francisco this weekend, and the Giants lose to Baltimore.

We can only finish #2, #3, #5 or #6.

To finish #2 we need to win out, have San Francisco lose at home to Arizona in Week 17, and have Green Bay lose either at home to Tennessee or at Minnesota. I don't see this happening.

To finish #3 we need to win out and have San Francisco lose at home to Arizona. Not likely.

To finish #5 we need to win both games, or beat San Fran this weekend and have the Giants lose this weekend.

To finish #6 we need to win one of the next two games, or we could actually still get in there losing both as long as a bunch of other stuff still happens.

It's pretty obvious to me now that we're going to end up as the number 5 seed in the draft. In order of likelihood our first round opponent would be Washington followed by Dallas followed by the NY Giants. I think Seattle has a good chance of beating any of those teams on the road the first weekend of the playoffs.

 

[volsunghawk]

According to ESPN's Playoff Machine page, you're right. I played it out giving us one win while giving all of the NFC East and NFC North contenders for the wildcard wins whenever possible. As long as we win once, we're in.

There are even avenues for us to get in should we lose both games, though I don't think any of us would want to go into the postseason on a 2 game losing streak.

 

[Jiggy]

I have also looked at the playoff machine @ ESPN and it appears that even it we lose the next two games. If the Cards or Eagles win next week, we are in.

I didn't have time to go over all possible outcomes of other games to see how they effect the Seahawks going 9-7 and still getting in.

 

[Sarlacc83]

According to ESPN's Playoff Machine page, you're right. I played it out giving us one win while giving all of the NFC East and NFC North contenders for the wildcard wins whenever possible. As long as we win once, we're in.

There are even avenues for us to get in should we lose both games, though I don't think any of us would want to go into the postseason on a 2 game losing streak.

If Seattle loses to the 9ers, I'm pretty sure they're going to take it out on the Rams.

Of course, if we beat the 9ers, I still think we're going to take it out on the Rams. :thirishdrinkers: