Hawkscanner":6pu8c49j said:
I know that going no huddle all of the time is probably unwise with the way that the Seahawks are built and the way that Pete Carroll values ball control, taking care of the football, time of possession, and playing hard-tough nosed defense.
In fact, I’d go so far as to say it would be flat out unwise to play hurry up ALL of the time … because that ultimately has adverse effects upon your own defense. I remember full well the Run and Shoot Offense that Mouse Davis popularized, especially as it was run with the Lions of the early 1990s when Barry Sanders was running the ball. Those teams could score in a hurry … and they DID in fact put up a lot of points. BUT, there was also a cost to that kind of offense. One of the problems with that kind of offense (and scoring so quick) is that it didn’t give the defense time enough to rest. So, YES -- the Lions racked up the lot of points … BUT, opposing offenses would often mount comebacks late in the 3rd and 4th Quarter, as the Lions’ defense was just flat out tired out.
I would offer a different take.
Not that I don't disagree that some of these disadvantages could result. And that in general the hurry up is antithetical to how Pete wants to win.
I would however submit that all strategies are bound by the circumstances of each team.
You are right, Detroit suffered mightily on defense. But their defense was largely awful. You know who else ran a hurry up offense? The Jim Kelly Buffalo Bills. They succeeded mightily. Their defense was great (not unlike ours). They didn't suffer at all.
So did Detroit suffer abnormally on defense? Or were they just an average defense that became compromised because of the offenses' strategy? I'd say it's more the latter. If you have a good defense, it shouldn't really matter. And if you have a great defense, then it really shouldn't matter. Seattle has great depth to absorb extra plays on the field.
Speaking of that. Do we even know there will be a substantial leap in the number of defensive snaps?
Seattle is already getting off the field quickly. By virtue of the gross number of 3 and outs. So the 'advantages' of TOP and ball control are already not being realized by our offense.
I'll detail what our standard offensive timing produced. I will omit the punt plays, since even in hurry up, we could milk the clock equally. Green is Hurry up drives:
Drive 1. (14:53 Q1)
3 plays. :41 second TOP
Drive 2: (9:26 Q1)
3 plays. 1:21 TOP
Drive 3: (1:34 Q1)
3 plays. 1:34 TOP
Drive 4: (11:13 Q2)
6 plays. 1 downs conversion 2:10 TOP
Drive 5: (7:12 Q2)
3 plays. :42 TOP
Drive 6: (0:55 Q2)
8 plays. 3 downs conversions :55 TOP
Drive 7: (12:04 Q3)
3 plays. 1:18 TOP
Drive 8: (10:29 Q3)
12 plays. 4 downs converted. 6:06 TOP
Drive 9: (0:17 Q3)
4 plays. 1 down converted. 1:30 TOP
Drive 10: (8:01 Q4)
7 plays. 3 downs converted. 1:40 TOP
The fear of doing a hurry up offense is that you will force your defense to play on the field more plays. But that only manifests itself if a team is equally efficient on offense vis a vis ball control or hurry up. Seattle is simply God awful at ball control. And has been really for all of last year and now game one of this year. But alternatively they've also been better at hurry up consistently.
In looking at our drives, a couple of things really stand out. Hurry up, if it results in even one first down converted, is basically equal to our 3 and out standard offense drives. Further, if we look in more detail of these failed 3 and outs -- we can see very early that Seattle is choosing to run in drives 2, 3 and 4 in an attempt to bleed a bit of TOP clock. The runs are ineffective for purposes of gaining a down conversion.
Seattle can still run the hurry up. And if they get into an unfavorable 3rd down, still have the option to run it with no hope of converting. Doing so is virtually identical in terms of TOP as simply running a standard offense. And while it would seem counter productive to sacrifice a drive in such a manner -- we already do that with the standard offense anyway.
If Seattle is more efficient at running the hurry up, then literally the TOP issue is kind of a wash. It's worth noting too, that if the change in offense results in more scoring -- that also has the net benefit of forcing opponents to throw the ball more to catch up. Resulting in more predictable opposing offenses. Also less TOP that their offense can secure per drive.
Green Bay was able to control the game late. They built a lead. And our offense was unable to create first down conversions. Really, the hurry up offense as it pertains to TOP, or tiring our own defense is a moot point, if the byproduct is that we add more first down conversions and prevent opponents from bleeding clock on leads they are sitting on. If they have to similarly resort to the pass -- that benefits our defense as we have a great secondary and a superior pass rush.