JSeahawks":3j5nfbs2 said:
I would still take Andrew Luck if given the opportunity. But after watching them all for half a season Russell Wilson would be my 2nd choice.
If I could take any of them right now, I'd probably take Wilson. He's grown the fastest of the rookie QBs in terms of managing the pocket, making reads, and picking up the offense.
Statistical, Russell Wilson is now the very best QB (not just rookie QBs) in the NFL in home games, with a home passer rating that resembles 2011 Aaron Rodgers (120.2). He has a 9/0 TD/INT ratio at home. His stats on the road have tanked his numbers, but remember that includes a ton of fluke-type interceptions and drops, particularly in the divisional games. He's been a little lucky at home, but very unlucky on the road. He's also improved each month, posting a 73.5 rating in September, a 90.5 rating in October, and a 127.3 rating (one game) so far in November.
I've always thought Luck was a safe pick and a future pro-bowl QB. I also thought the whole Peyton Manning talk was just ridiculous over-hype. A much better comparison for Andrew Luck is Ben Roethlisberger- a big, accurate QB with solid mobility who can win games (and championships) without needing a ton of charisma. Eli Manning with more mobility is a decent comparison as well.
Russell Wilson is almost a clone of Fran Tarkenton.
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You'll see eery similarities, especially in regards to how Tarkenton would so often turn his back on pursuers to change directions. Tarkenton was the master of buying time to throw deep. Wilson can do that, but often chooses not to. He's like a smarter, more disciplined version. Tarkenton won six division titles and went to three Superbowls. It's often forgotten, but Tarkenton was the NFL's all time leader in passing yards and passing TDs the day that he retired.
I thought that Wilson looked more polished and more decisive against Minnesota than he looked in any game I scouted for him at Wisconsin. He might not be done improving yet either. You add to that his mobility and off the charts poise/character/leadership, and you have a QB with a scary high ceiling who looks pretty likely to reach it.
With RG3, I see Randall Cunningham with more injuries and more charisma. If he can find a happy medium where he can remain effective without exposing himself to injury, he could be the #1 QB out of this class. I think 10 years from now, Luck will probably rate behind those two, but will still be a no-doubter franchise QB, possibly with a Super Bowl ring.