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  1. AgentDib

    Why I think DK will NEVER reach his full potential

    Is that really what you got out of my post, or is this some kind of way to shut down discussion?
  2. AgentDib

    Why I think DK will NEVER reach his full potential

    Input consistency is important but output consistency is largely a function of uncertainty. Clutch, destiny, and fate don't really exist; it's all a numbers game. DK is worse at contested catches than some and better than others, but talking about consistency in outputs is a fool's errand...
  3. AgentDib

    My Action Plan (you may not agree)

    Not sure how many season ticket holders would be OK with giving up on the season while we're currently 3-3. There's still a bunch of home games left which require investments in money, time and effort to attend. We should take a hard look at our front office this off-season. We'll have a lot...
  4. AgentDib

    Which coach has us at 6-0 right now?

    The concern that I've seen has less to do with the losses themselves than the performances. We've been run over in that losing stretch, allowing 173 yards rushing per game, while at the same time the QBs (Goff-Jones-Purdy) have surgically picked us apart through the air; completing 60 of 81...
  5. AgentDib

    Well, 'something' seems wrong - per Lockett

    We would all love to learn more about the internal state of the team, but don't let that desire cloud your judgement about whether you are actually learning something. I'm not criticizing anybody for speculating, just remember that like most public information this isn't actually evidence of...
  6. AgentDib

    POLL: Seahawks Win Tonight?

    We are the underdogs but it's not a large margin (+3.5 points). I'd put our chances at 40% and expect it to be a one score game in the 4th quarter. Optimists can look at 40% and feel good about our chances. Those are excellent odds if you look at it similar to a high upside outcome like...
  7. AgentDib

    The decision to go for it on 4th down at our own 35

    The real problem here is our defense was struggling so much that going for it from our own 35 yard line was a reasonable decision. MacDonald doesn't want to say it like that publicly, but if we had punted then there's a very high likelihood that the Giants would have marched down the field like...
  8. AgentDib

    Just how pass-happy is this offense?

    Good points here. Another thing to consider is that abdominal injuries can linger and are easily re-aggravated. We'll never know for sure, but I would bet that Walker has been on a pitch count the last two games (<20 touches in each), and he's the back we can still feed even if the OL run...
  9. AgentDib

    Tempo, Tempo, Tempo

    Fast tempo is a higher risk strategy. When it's working the reduced TOP isn't an issue because your offense is staying on the field. Of course, if it doesn't work and your offense doesn't convert a first down then you are immediately sending your defense back on the field with no rest. When...
  10. AgentDib

    Geno's Decision to Slide

    It's hard to separate terrible outcomes from terrible processes. Ugly outcomes like we saw on Sunday inevitably leads to discussions where every mistake is blown out of proportion. Geno made the correct decision to slide and he clearly thought he had the first down. Unfortunately, he...
  11. AgentDib

    Jason Peters

    Peters wouldn't come in because Forsythe is a problem, but because if Forsythe were to go down it would be a gigantic problem. I read this development as further negative news about Lucas, and if so then we absolutely need to add tackle depth somehow.
  12. AgentDib

    Never Apologize For 3-0.

    In my view it's interesting to discuss how good this team actually is. It's not about throwing cold water on optimistic fans or arguing with pessimistic fans, but about discussing the one thing that most of us really care a lot about. When it comes to our post-season chances, it's true that...
  13. AgentDib

    Why no McIntosh?

    He reminds me a lot of DeMarco Murray. Similar weight and explosiveness with a lower center of gravity, but the same slipperiness and balance that was constantly turning nothing into something. Murray gave us fits a couple of times when our front seven was still very good.
  14. AgentDib

    Why no McIntosh?

    What a few of you are noticing is the benefit of having different skillsets. Charbs wasn't drafted to be a Murray backup but as a complementary piece. He's a downhill runner who runs hard, blocks well and has good hands. He contributes on special teams and is a good chance of pace back/goal...
  15. AgentDib

    Surely there is a free agent lineman

    Not sure why Forsythe is getting the heat, from the stadium he looked decent - especially factoring in that he's our backup LT subbing in as the emergency third RT. A real problem was our guard play (Bradford and Tomlinson). They both had a rough day in pass protection and Geno looked...
  16. AgentDib

    Why you shouldn't put too much stock into PFF Grades

    PFF grades are just an entertainment product but they also invoke a cognitive illusion where we erroneously feel like the more information we consume, the more signal we receive. Taleb discusses this at length in Antifragility and it is summarized as the Noise Bottleneck here. That's a better...
  17. AgentDib

    Why you shouldn't put too much stock into PFF Grades

    PFF grades are assigned by young (inexpensive) 20-somethings with no experience, so they largely end up grading production rather than performance. The grades themselves aren't useful as a result and it's entirely PFFs fault for selling them as indicative of performance when they just aren't...
  18. AgentDib

    Interesting stats for fans down on Geno and/or Russ

    QB salaries are another complication to this discussion. I'm down on Howell compared to most here, but I'd much rather the team had his contract than Jalen Hurts's contract. Similarly, while Jackson is a top 5 QB I'd have to think before taking him on his current deal. That's unusually...
  19. AgentDib

    Interesting stats for fans down on Geno and/or Russ

    The problem with jamming every QB together into a generic ranking is that the outcome depends a lot on whether you are looking at the short term or long term. There are a few QBs at the top who are highly regarded and have won a lot. Most people will put 5-7 QBs in that group depending on how...
  20. AgentDib

    I've Changed My Mind On DK

    DK has been very productive as a Seahawk and the personal foul issues are completely overblown. Lagartixa sums it up well above, but I would just add that receivers have different responsibilities. An important concept in competitive scenarios is that zero penalties or mistakes is too few...

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