Draft kings now favors sf by 9.5

SantaClaraHawk

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This is up by Sundays projection by a point despite the 9ers spectacular fall to the bears and our win.

What gives?


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chrispy

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It'll be tough to come off last night and be as focused all week as necessary to beat the Niners. But...what would the power rankings look like if Seahawks go 2-0 against Broncos and Niners?
 
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SantaClaraHawk

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FresnoHawk52

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This is up by Sundays projection by a point despite the 9ers spectacular fall to the bears and our win.

What gives?


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If Trey Lance plays the entire game Seattle wins but if Garoppolo takes over early we get blown out.

Trey Lance was a major mistake by SF one Seattle would never make.
 

FattyKnuckle

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This is up by Sundays projection by a point despite the 9ers spectacular fall to the bears and our win.

What gives?


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That's what the handicappers feel will make them the most money. Betting odds care less than zero about any team. They set the number to get the most people to bet on either side of it. If betting is too heavy on one side of the line, they adjust the line. It's actually kind of a smaller spread than we had for the Broncos once you adjust the 6 point difference between home and away. It's the equivalent of being 6.5 underdogs at a neutral site or 3.5 underdogs at home. We were 6.5 underdogs at home vs the Donkeys.
 

sdog1981

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All lines are set to encourage betting on both teams.

My conspiracy theory hat tells me Vegas insiders know Lance might only play 1 quarter if he struggles.
 
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SantaClaraHawk

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I didn’t know they still gifted the home team a three point advantage for merely being at home. I thought that had gone away.

Still tho in the Bears game the 49ers ol was a turnstile. The same young players did the same thing in preseason. And Elijah Mitchell their no 1 rb is now hurt, and Kittle is not expected back either.

I still think theyre favored to win, but by 10?
 

BASF

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Are any of you surprised? We will be on the road against a better running game and a QB that won't have to choke at the end cuz he has a much better head coach.
 

Crizilla

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Pretty sure in the Pete era they've done really well against rookie QB's, right? They can win this game if Trey starts.
 

SoulfishHawk

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10? Strange, I just looked it up and it said 8.5. Maybe depends on the site or where you'd place some bets. If I could find 10, I'd jump on the Hawks +10
 

Own The West

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10? Strange, I just looked it up and it said 8.5. Maybe depends on the site or where you'd place some bets. If I could find 10, I'd jump on the Hawks +10

Betting drives line movement, so if a ton of people put money on SF, they'll move the line in SEA's favor. Depending on which site you go to, they'll have slightly different lines depending on how much money is being placed where.

At the end of the day, the sportsbook's goal is have a 50/50 split on each side of a bet, so the house never loses and they make their money on the fees/vig. e.g. a $110 bet pays 100, so the house always gets $10.
 

SoulfishHawk

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Thanks for the heads up. I just jumped on the Hawks +10. Especially since imo, it's going to go down to 8 by game time, if not 7.
I know how the betting lines work, I clearly went to a page that had an older line. Hawks +10 is a pretty sweet number.
 
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SantaClaraHawk

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10? Strange, I just looked it up and it said 8.5. Maybe depends on the site or where you'd place some bets. If I could find 10, I'd jump on the Hawks +10

Draft kings favors Niners by 9.5. The direct link got modded out so I provided the fieldgulls one that links it.

You round up to the nearest decimal since 0.5 won’t happen
 

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