I think that Wilson will lead the NFL in passer rating, probably significantly. I think he will lead an absolutely dominant Seattle team and will enter the national conversation as the best QB in the NFL. I think, unfortunately, Colin Kaepernick might be in the conversation, too, although I expect Wilson to both better and less system dependent. Wilson will always be a better passer and the gap will get wider over the next couple years.
To understand Wilson's progress over the season, note that over the last half of the season, he led the NFL in passer rating, by far, at around 120 to RG3's 110:
http://www.pro-football-reference.com/p ... ass_rating
Not only that, his second half was the 6th best second half for a QB ever, not just rookies:
Passer rating, Games 9-16 of any season 1900-2012 (through Profootball reference)
2010 Tom Brady - 128.2
1994 Steve Young - 123.6
2010 Aaron Rodgers - 122.0
2011 Drew Brees - 121.6
2004 Peyton Manning - 121.0
2012 Russell Wilson - 120.3
Hat tip:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Seahawks/commen ... he_second/
Last year Chip Kelly gave a Nike sponsored coaches clinic presentation called "Efficient Use of Practice Time." As Kelly is a brilliant and innovative coach it was a gold mine of information. One thing I noticed is that Kelly would not have been fooled by any of the deprecating analysis about Russell Wilson at draft time. According to Kelly's simple model of finding QB talent, Wilson is right in the sweet spot:
"lf the quarterback is not tall, look at his hands.
That is the biggest coaching point to finding
a quarterback. How big are his hands, and how
well can he control the football? The height of
the quarterback is not the important thing. No one
playing quarterback throws over the line. They
throw through lanes in the linemen. The important
thing is the size of their hand"
Source:
http://fishduck.com/wp-content/uploads/ ... mplete.pdf