I say we roll with Lock. We can release Gino save money and have our new headcoach be in line to draft his QBOTF in either this upcoming draft or next year's draft.
Why do we keep seeing this suggestion? What is the point of 'rolling with Lock' when you don't view him as a QBOTF?
Geno performed essentially in the 11-15 range for QBs. His projected cap hit for next year is looking like #12 for QBs. In other words, we are essentially paying him his 'value'. (And that's if he doesn't restructure.)
We can't really say the same for Drew.
When Geno had his handful of games when Russ went down, he had some metrics where he fell short of Russ (QBR, ANY/A, Sack Rate), some where they were basically identical (Passer Rating, Success Rate) and was better in some others (Completion Percentage, Rushing Success Rate).
Drew was worse than Geno in
every single one of those metrics. There were about a dozen backup QBs who had similar amounts of playing time (2-3 starts) and only 3 of them (Drew, PJ Walker, and Jaren Hall) failed to best their respective starter in at least ONE of those categories. Drew was one of the top paid backup QBs in the league and had the 35th largest QB cap hit.
Jaren Hall is on a 5th Round rookie contract and PJ Walker's cap hit across 2 different teams was still less than half of what the Seahawks paid Lock.
Drew gave us bottom quarter of the league backup play for top quarter of the league backup money and because of that Eagles drive that seems to have confused everyone to that fact, he's probably going to command even MORE.
So, the idea to 'roll with Lock' makes zero sense if you don't see him as the QBOTF.
Either you are full blown tanking, in which case you can get Drew Lock level production for much cheaper than Drew is going to cost or you want to stay competitive while keeping someone for your rookie QB to learn behind, in which case Geno makes far more sense than Drew does.
