SalishHawkFan
New member
- Joined
- Apr 30, 2009
- Messages
- 5,872
- Reaction score
- 0
We CAN beat Arizona both games. Football Outsiders DVOA rating says we'd be favored in both games.
At the start of the season, it looked like the Cards schedule could put them at 12-4. They're quality surprise win came on the road against Dallas, but remember, on paper that looked like a win anyways. Honestly, this fast start was expected with their schedule, knowing they were a decent team. They will lose those 4 games. If St. Louis wins at home, the Cards go 11-5. That's AFTER we sweep them.
So no, we won't win this division. We're looking at a Wildcard slot.
We're not catching Green Bay, they just have it easy. We're probably losing to SF on TDay with no rest after the tough game against AZ. That's loss 5. We win out at home, not saying it will be easy, but we do it. We beat AZ on the road, despite everyone thinking there's no chance, but it's the game in Philly that we shouldn't win that we have to win because of the Rams loss. 10-6 is most likely. Green Bay isn't going 10-6.
Dallas isn't going 10-6 and even if they did, it wouldn't be enough. They are NOT going 9-7.
Detroit has 7 wins and 2 games with Chicago, as well as games against Minnesota and Tampa Bay. That should net them 11 wins. Catching Detroit means losing only one game here on out. Possible, but not favorable.
That means we HAVE to catch Philly to get in the playoffs. We HAVE to win that game. But even if we beat them, we need them to lose another game. They can and probably should.
So basically, our playoff picture is this: We can't lose more than one more game and we CAN'T lose to Philly.
At the start of the season, it looked like the Cards schedule could put them at 12-4. They're quality surprise win came on the road against Dallas, but remember, on paper that looked like a win anyways. Honestly, this fast start was expected with their schedule, knowing they were a decent team. They will lose those 4 games. If St. Louis wins at home, the Cards go 11-5. That's AFTER we sweep them.
So no, we won't win this division. We're looking at a Wildcard slot.
We're not catching Green Bay, they just have it easy. We're probably losing to SF on TDay with no rest after the tough game against AZ. That's loss 5. We win out at home, not saying it will be easy, but we do it. We beat AZ on the road, despite everyone thinking there's no chance, but it's the game in Philly that we shouldn't win that we have to win because of the Rams loss. 10-6 is most likely. Green Bay isn't going 10-6.
Dallas isn't going 10-6 and even if they did, it wouldn't be enough. They are NOT going 9-7.
Detroit has 7 wins and 2 games with Chicago, as well as games against Minnesota and Tampa Bay. That should net them 11 wins. Catching Detroit means losing only one game here on out. Possible, but not favorable.
That means we HAVE to catch Philly to get in the playoffs. We HAVE to win that game. But even if we beat them, we need them to lose another game. They can and probably should.
So basically, our playoff picture is this: We can't lose more than one more game and we CAN'T lose to Philly.