kearly
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This is surprising coming from Barnwell, who wrote that Wilson was the real MVP last season, IIRC.
Baldwin probably isn't going to have 30 TDs this year that's true, but it wasn't just TD's he loaded up on. Baldwin had 723 yards after the team switched to the spread, a 94 catch / 1446 yard pace. So it wasn't like he just had some random TD luck. He was producing at an elite level. And the fact that Baldwin did score so many TDs so quickly does imply that he has developed red zone ability.
Rawls I can forgive, as he got hurt and has a small sample size.
Still, it seems surprising that Barnwell would make this ranking. He's an obvious believer in DVOA, which had Seattle's offense ranked #1 last year. It ranked #1 with a horrific OL and with very little help from Lynch and Graham. That leaves... this trio, as well as Tyler Lockett. The numbers just don't add up to support Barnwell's thought process.
Normally when Barnwell gets something wrong, it's because he over-thought things. This is one of the rare times he was wrong because he under-thought something.
Baldwin probably isn't going to have 30 TDs this year that's true, but it wasn't just TD's he loaded up on. Baldwin had 723 yards after the team switched to the spread, a 94 catch / 1446 yard pace. So it wasn't like he just had some random TD luck. He was producing at an elite level. And the fact that Baldwin did score so many TDs so quickly does imply that he has developed red zone ability.
Rawls I can forgive, as he got hurt and has a small sample size.
Still, it seems surprising that Barnwell would make this ranking. He's an obvious believer in DVOA, which had Seattle's offense ranked #1 last year. It ranked #1 with a horrific OL and with very little help from Lynch and Graham. That leaves... this trio, as well as Tyler Lockett. The numbers just don't add up to support Barnwell's thought process.
Normally when Barnwell gets something wrong, it's because he over-thought things. This is one of the rare times he was wrong because he under-thought something.