Sgt. Largent
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Seymour":1zx48sup said:Sgt. Largent":1zx48sup said:SoulfishHawk":1zx48sup said:When Dilfer won his Super Bowl, and he was average, it was all about letting the D take over and don't do anything stupid. He was efficient enough to not screw it up. But he was far from a great QB.
Look at that list that Seymour posted. There are some average AT BEST QB's on that list.
Again, Dilfer won with another of the top 2-3 all time NFL defenses. To hold our SB and the Raven's SB as the blueprint is insane.
If you're playing the odds game, which all teams are. Then your odds are far better trusting your FO to build around your elite QB then it for them to build around a cheap mediocre or rookie QB.
Best example of the past 5 years is the Jags. They build a nasty elite defense, and when it came time to take on the Patriots to finally push them over the top, what happened? Oh yeah, they remembered they had Blake Bortles.
No team has won a SB paying more than 13% of the cap to the QB since 2004. That is 15 years of history we are now up against paying Wilson his 18-19%. Ya, I still want him, just stating the numbers are against us. I think since Pete has an archaic offensive strategy, our chances happen to be worse. It took drafting 6 pro bowl level picks over 3 years to do it in 2013. It will take at least that again and likely more IMO.
The numbers are against everyone not named the New England Patriots who have an elite QB willing to get paid far less then he's worth, AND have played in a complete and utter dumpster fire of a division for the better part of 20 years giving them a 4-5 game head start on the rest of the AFC in securing HFA through the playoffs, which has greatly helped them in reaching and winning SB's.
So neither approach we're discussing for keeping or not keeping Russell is a guarantee to win another SB. Chances are we probably won't. But which approach gives us the best chance to win games period in HOPES of making the playoffs enough times to HOPEFULLY get to another SB?
It's sure as hell not the approach without the elite QB in his prime.