I'm not too worried about the amount of Graham's targets.
Wilson threw the ball an average of 28 times a game last season. His career average is around 66%. If having a big, sure handed target like Graham ups him to 70 %, then we're talking 20 completions per game.
Giving Graham about 5 of those doesn't seem out of line. couple that with 10 ypc average, which is what he had last year and was his worst average of his career, we're looking at: 80 catches for 800 yards and 10 TDs. The TDs are an arbitrary number I came up with, but you can see how Graham can have a pretty major impact right away.
We can also see the number of throws go up. Pete has said we're a run first offense, but he's also said he likes a balanced offense. You could see another 5 attempts per game and still be a 50/50 balanced offense. Also, when Lynch retires, Graham's contract really won't be that big of a deal, and we all know it's going to be hard to replace Lynch. I could see us maybe going 55/45 pass to run ratio if we had average to above average backs, but really good receivers.
Graham might actually be part of a long term plan in dealing with the offense once Lynch hangs his cleats up.
Wilson threw the ball an average of 28 times a game last season. His career average is around 66%. If having a big, sure handed target like Graham ups him to 70 %, then we're talking 20 completions per game.
Giving Graham about 5 of those doesn't seem out of line. couple that with 10 ypc average, which is what he had last year and was his worst average of his career, we're looking at: 80 catches for 800 yards and 10 TDs. The TDs are an arbitrary number I came up with, but you can see how Graham can have a pretty major impact right away.
We can also see the number of throws go up. Pete has said we're a run first offense, but he's also said he likes a balanced offense. You could see another 5 attempts per game and still be a 50/50 balanced offense. Also, when Lynch retires, Graham's contract really won't be that big of a deal, and we all know it's going to be hard to replace Lynch. I could see us maybe going 55/45 pass to run ratio if we had average to above average backs, but really good receivers.
Graham might actually be part of a long term plan in dealing with the offense once Lynch hangs his cleats up.