2.5 Underdogs?

glenwo2

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I was just watching GMFB and was going to comment similar. I was surprised when he picked us to win the division.
Was this recent 'cause this is the only video I was able to find (and it was two weeks ago).



Thanks! I was so surprised he picked us to win the division this morning

Oh. So it was this morning. Nevermind. He's been all-in on the Hawks for a while.
 

SonicHawk

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Sharps set the line and Sharps don't think the Seahawks are very good. Week 1 NFL betting lines are always a bit of a crapshoot anyways.
 

toffee

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If we don't win by 2 TDs and total domination, 12s have every reason to be disappointed. I expect our D to shut down their O. Our O might take a bit to get going, but once going, unstoppable.
 

SoulfishHawk

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Come on toff. Win by 2 touchdowns? This game is going down to the wire. With the Hawks on the winning end.
And you know how much I despise that team.
 

warden

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1.5 point underdogs

Seems about right

We haven’t done anything yet. To many unknowns with this team

Lines are to even up the betting in Vegas
 
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AROS

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Yes divisional games almost always come down to the wire but I for one will be pretty damn livid if our D can't limit Purdy and their 2025 offense.
 

rjdriver

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It absolutely is a must win. Have to send the message.
I love the passion and your obvious hate for the Niners, but “a must win” is a bit hyperbolic.

It’s one game. An important division game nonetheless, but still just one of 17. We have rooks playing at a few different positions. If we make a few mistakes and blow this one, it will suck, but lots of time to get firing on all cylinders.

That said.. Let’s kick their ass.
 

SoulfishHawk

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I love the passion and your obvious hate for the Niners, but “a must win” is a bit hyperbolic.

It’s one game. An important division game nonetheless, but still just one of 17. We have rooks playing at a few different positions. If we make a few mistakes and blow this one, it will suck, but lots of time to get firing on all cylinders.

That said.. Let’s kick their ass.
To me, it IS a must win. You have to send that message, from the get.
 

FLSeahawk

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Yes divisional games almost always come down to the wire but I for one will be pretty damn livid if our D can't limit Purdy and their 2025 offense.
The over/under on the whiners is 22.5 points.

Just took the under.

I think our O will come out strong on the scripted plays and then might need a few drives to start clicking but I’m confident as hell the defense will be solid the entire game. I can’t wait to see the entire first team defense in action.

We’re a little light at NT but have good cover on the PS. If we can shut down their run game early and play with a lead it’ll be a long day for purdy and co.

PS: I know every fan says that last sentence about their team but I’m an unabashed homer and actually think there’s a good chance of that happening this Sunday.
 

94Smith

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the M*A*S*H unit, l
Surprisingly positive practice reports yesterday. Juwan Jennings WR1/2, Dominick Puni RG 1, Yetur Gross Matos DE 2, Mykel Williams DL 1/2, CJ West DL 2, Kalia Davis DL 1/2, Upton Stout slot corner 1 all practicing. So only injuries still lingering are Aiyuk WR 1 4-6 weeks still with ACL, Mustapha SS 1 4-6 weeks ACL, Watkins WR 4 weeks high ankle, Demarcus Robinson WR 3 suspension 4 weeks
 

flv2

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The points differential is a function determined by win probability. There is about a 2.5% the game ends up with a 1 point margin of victory. The chance of a 2 point victory is about 2.0% . There's between 8.5 and 9.3% of a 3 point victory. Obviously there's a slightly bigger chance of the favourite winning by any of these margins than the underdog. The probabilities are also altered by the number of points expected to be scored in a game. If the game is more likely to be low scoring the probability of a narrow victory is increased. All the 49ers -2.5 line means is the 49ers are considered to be a 54.7% chance with the Seahawks a 45.3% chance...give or take. If the 49ers were a 52.6% favourite the line would be -1.5. If the 49ers were a 63.7% chance the line would be -3.5.

Just remember that betting handicap points are not equal in value. They don't imply that a team will win by a specific margin or that a team is better by that specific margin. 3 is the biggest number and 7 is the 2nd biggest number. 6 & 10 are the other big 2 numbers. Everything else is pretty small.
 

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