I hear you about being nervous heading in to these games Todd -- usually I am. But you want to know what feeling I honestly can't shake? It's the feeling that the Seahawks are going to hang 30-40 points on this Dolphins team ... and that Russell Wilson is going to have a HUGE day.
Now, early in the year Tannehill had his moments when he looked pretty good. For example, this was Tannehill's 1st NFL start against the Texans. That Texans team honestly was the best team that the Dolphins have faced all year. Here are some extended highlights ...http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UWkqVecz0Ok&feature=related
Now, even though Tannehill obviously had his moments in that game -- notice where a lot of his receptions were to: check-downs coming out of the backfield and quick slants. Opposing teams have increasingly done a much better job as the season has gone along of shutting those down. And even though this highlight reel makes Tannehill look fairly good ... they don't highlight the fact that he also threw 3 interceptions in that game and that the Texans hung 30 points on them.
The Dolphins have honestly struggled against good defenses. The best defenses they have faced all year long were the Cardinals (currently ranked #7 overall -- they LOST to them 21-24 in OT) ... and the Bengals (currently ranked #13 -- they WON 17-13, but mainly because of miscues by the Bengals). The 2 teams that the Dolphins HAVE managed to hang 30 points on -- the Raiders and the Jets -- rank #22 and #26 respectively in terms of Total Defense. As I've mentioned many times before .... the Dolphins haven't yet faced a defense the caliber of this Seahawks team.
Frankly, this is a team that looks like it's starting to go in to freefall. They have lost 3 games in a row now, highlighted by this 37-3 absolute pasting by a Titans team (who is arguably one of the worst teams in football) in front of the Dolphins own home crowd ...http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-game-highlights/0ap2000000093146/Titans-vs-Dolphins-highlights
They followed up that de-pantsing defeat by losing to an equally bad Bills team 19-14.
I just look at the fact that over the last 3 games this Dolphins defense has allowed ...
Andrew Luck to complete 62.5% of his passes for 433 yards and 2 TD ... AND for the Colts to gain 97 yards on the ground to boot.
Chris Johnson to run wild for 126 Yards and a TD ... AND for Locker to pass for 2 more TD's.
Ryan Fitzpatrick to complete 63% of his passes ... the Bills to gain 120 yards on the ground ... AND for Leodis McKelvin to return a punt for a TD.
Tannehill has thrown 5 interceptions to just 2 TD's over that time frame. In addition, the Dolphins have rushed for an average of just 66 yards/game in those 3 games. That Bills team came in to that game ranked 31st in the league in terms of yards/allowed ... and DEAD LAST in Points Allowed/Game (32 Points/Game). That defense limited the Dolphins to just 184 yards of total offense.
You (Todd) have the feeling that this Seahawks team is going to choke ... ME (Todd) on the other hand has the feeling that this Hawks team is going to CHOKE OUT the Phins today.