HawkFan72":25q651p9 said:With how good Hauschka and Ryan have been, when you factor in the return yards allowed and how good Tate has been on punt returns...we may be looking at the best Special Teams unit in NFL history.
Well remember that 4 yard difference includes the difference in return yardage, so his actual punt yardage was significantly more than that last year, with returns eating away some but not at all of the difference. It is not obvious to me that reducing punt return volatility is worth giving up 4 yards per punt. It has value, but so do the yards, and reducing volatility is optimal only in direct proportion to how favored your team is.253hawk":3f7yd3ks said:Ryan was punting deep spirals then and only netting 4 yards more per kick than he is this season... over the diminishing returns of a booming kick that's only getting 10'-12' more every time.
I would rather have Ryan kick it 4-5 yards shorter than the "top" NFL Punters and have literally no threat of a Punt Return TD than the other way around. What we have going right now is fine, I'm so glad you aren't the special teams coach.AgentDib":zmtadl7h said:Well remember that 4 yard difference includes the difference in return yardage, so his actual punt yardage was significantly more than that last year, with returns eating away some but not at all of the difference. It is not obvious to me that reducing punt return volatility is worth giving up 4 yards per punt. It has value, but so do the yards, and reducing volatility is optimal only in direct proportion to how favored your team is.253hawk":zmtadl7h said:Ryan was punting deep spirals then and only netting 4 yards more per kick than he is this season... over the diminishing returns of a booming kick that's only getting 10'-12' more every time.
Take a look at our six punts last week against the 49ers:
1-12:52 37 net yards
1-09:56 36 net yards
1-02:03 Blocked punt
3-07:43 31 net yards, -15 personal foul on Lane
3-00:30 35 net yards, -15 fair catch interference on Schofield
4-12:47 47 net yards, +10 holding Brock
Even discounting the block and the penalties, we still only averaged 37 yards per punt. Now maybe if Ryan had been booming them instead one may have been returned, but we gave up a lot of potential field position to prevent that possibility, and that very well could have meant a field goal in a game that we lost by 2 points. This was certainly not our only problem last week, but if you look at punt return yards to evaluate the game you would have no idea that our punting game struggled.
I am not trying to throw cold water on our special teams which I think have played very well overall. However, if for example we think that Jeremy Lane is an outstanding gunner, wouldn't that enable us to kick longer punts and attempt to cover them? The Australian style shorter kicks would seem more appropriate for a team with poor coverage that had a larger risk of a return.
AgentDib":dr0cls0g said:Well remember that 4 yard difference includes the difference in return yardage, so his actual punt yardage was significantly more than that last year, with returns eating away some but not at all of the difference. It is not obvious to me that reducing punt return volatility is worth giving up 4 yards per punt. It has value, but so do the yards, and reducing volatility is optimal only in direct proportion to how favored your team is.253hawk":dr0cls0g said:Ryan was punting deep spirals then and only netting 4 yards more per kick than he is this season... over the diminishing returns of a booming kick that's only getting 10'-12' more every time.
Take a look at our six punts last week against the 49ers:
1-12:52 37 net yards
1-09:56 36 net yards
1-02:03 Blocked punt
3-07:43 31 net yards, -15 personal foul on Lane
3-00:30 35 net yards, -15 fair catch interference on Schofield
4-12:47 47 net yards, +10 holding Brock
Even discounting the block and the penalties, we still only averaged 37 yards per punt. Now maybe if Ryan had been booming them instead one may have been returned, but we gave up a lot of potential field position to prevent that possibility, and that very well could have meant a field goal in a game that we lost by 2 points. This was certainly not our only problem last week, but if you look at punt return yards to evaluate the game you would have no idea that our punting game struggled.
I am not trying to throw cold water on our special teams which I think have played very well overall. However, if for example we think that Jeremy Lane is an outstanding gunner, wouldn't that enable us to kick longer punts and attempt to cover them? The Australian style shorter kicks would seem more appropriate for a team with poor coverage that had a larger risk of a return.
Do you agree that decreasing volatility is the goal of the favorite, while the underdog should be risk seeking? Hopefully we will be favored for the remainder of this season and the playoffs, but if we do happen to end up on the wrong side of the spread like @SF then the risk/reward logic reverses.253hawk":2ic6b2pq said:with far greater risk/reward factors in our favor as well.
This year, Ryan more often uses “an Aussie kick,” a style used in Australian Rules Football. Essentially, the ball is kicked on the nose instead of in the middle, creating an end-over-end punt rather than a spiral.
“By doing that I can control the ball and where I place it and the distance a little bit easier than the traditional spiral punt,’’ Ryan said. That makes punts harder to return and easier for those covering to get in position to make tackles.
Ryan has used it for years when he wanted the ball downed inside the 10 or 20. “We’re doing it a lot more in the open field,” he said.
Another big factor is punt-team coverage, particularly primary gunners Byron Maxwell and Jeremy Lane, who line up outside and race downfield.
“It’s just unbelievable how fast they are getting down there and forcing fair catches,” said Farwell.
HoustonHawk82":ilrczrlb said:Cue the XX "Most Interesting Man in the World" poster with Jon Ryan surrounded by gorgeous Latinas.
"I don't always have to punt, but when I do, you can count my season return yards on two hands".
Or he is assuming that we hold our next 3 opponents to a combined -5 yards returned, which is definitely possible.Scottemojo":1ecisfcs said:HoustonHawk82":1ecisfcs said:Cue the XX "Most Interesting Man in the World" poster with Jon Ryan surrounded by gorgeous Latinas.
"I don't always have to punt, but when I do, you can count my season return yards on two hands".
Either you are REALLY bad at math, or a mutated freak-o.
Scottemojo":3fv2g47g said:HoustonHawk82":3fv2g47g said:Cue the XX "Most Interesting Man in the World" poster with Jon Ryan surrounded by gorgeous Latinas.
"I don't always have to punt, but when I do, you can count my season return yards on two hands".
Either you are REALLY bad at math, or a mutated freak-o.
Actually, Andy Lee is punting 6.1 yards further per average... according to ESPN stats anyways.253hawk":8z80m34n said:Andy Lee is kicking it 4 yards further but averaging in the returns (8.4 yards) it only comes out to 2 yards more than Ryan (throwing out the two blocks which aren't his fault.) That's basically taking a step or two and falling forward; so the punting metric is basically a joke because the difference between 2nd and 29th is about the height of an average football player laying on the ground. I'll take accuracy and no return every time over an erratic deep blast that has a chance to go out of bounds early, score or spark an offense. What I also like is that Ryan is among the fewest in punt attempts. He's tied for third fewest if you throw out BUF and PIT who have split theirs between two punters almost evenly.
All the punters kicking it deep are allowing about 9-10 yards per return; that's like a free first down for the opposition and a shorter field on which to get into FG range.