SomersetHawk
New member
Threads like this have been born and withered in the past but I'll do my best to keep it alive, and simple. So if you're betting on the NFL this week, show me what you got?
I always make money over the course of an NFL season and don't know whether that's dumb luck, the fact that the UK are slower to react to trends in the market or it's a sport that genuinely can offer some pretty good value if you're willing to find it.
For example, last week, Thomas Rawls was still trending as the shortest price anytime TD scorer for Seattle as late as Saturday night, despite the fact it was almost nailed on that CMike would be the starter.
Odds of CMike scoring 2 or more touchdowns was 11/1 (Rawls was about 5 or 6/1) and I combined this with four other players to achieve the same feat and staked 10x doubles bets (a double is where two of your legs have to win). £2 on my 10 doubles totalled a £20 stake. It just so happened that one of those other players I'd be on was Todd Gurley (at 17/2) and so that £2 double returned £228. The other guys didn't manage to score two or more touchdowns but having only staked £20, I was more than comfortably up.
Another £5 bet on several touchdown scorers (including Jimmy Graham at 3/1) was a Spencer Ware TD away from returning near £300. For those who didn't see the game last week, Ware was given a touchdown on the field but a replay showed he lost control of the ball inches before breaking the plane whilst diving in, and they ruled it a touchback. That's betting.
Anyway, I'm waiting for the TD scorers market to come out this week but have had a £20 accumulator bet on the following...
Broncos -3 @Bucs, Cowboys -3 @49ers, Saints +7.5 @Chargers and Dolphins to score (by any method) in both halves @Bengals.
Cowboys probably look the most likely to let me down but the reward is over £150 if they all come in.
Anyone else having a flutter? Got any tips, or anything to avoid?
I always make money over the course of an NFL season and don't know whether that's dumb luck, the fact that the UK are slower to react to trends in the market or it's a sport that genuinely can offer some pretty good value if you're willing to find it.
For example, last week, Thomas Rawls was still trending as the shortest price anytime TD scorer for Seattle as late as Saturday night, despite the fact it was almost nailed on that CMike would be the starter.
Odds of CMike scoring 2 or more touchdowns was 11/1 (Rawls was about 5 or 6/1) and I combined this with four other players to achieve the same feat and staked 10x doubles bets (a double is where two of your legs have to win). £2 on my 10 doubles totalled a £20 stake. It just so happened that one of those other players I'd be on was Todd Gurley (at 17/2) and so that £2 double returned £228. The other guys didn't manage to score two or more touchdowns but having only staked £20, I was more than comfortably up.
Another £5 bet on several touchdown scorers (including Jimmy Graham at 3/1) was a Spencer Ware TD away from returning near £300. For those who didn't see the game last week, Ware was given a touchdown on the field but a replay showed he lost control of the ball inches before breaking the plane whilst diving in, and they ruled it a touchback. That's betting.
Anyway, I'm waiting for the TD scorers market to come out this week but have had a £20 accumulator bet on the following...
Broncos -3 @Bucs, Cowboys -3 @49ers, Saints +7.5 @Chargers and Dolphins to score (by any method) in both halves @Bengals.
Cowboys probably look the most likely to let me down but the reward is over £150 if they all come in.
Anyone else having a flutter? Got any tips, or anything to avoid?