byau
Active member
NJSeaHawk":3v5n9xpf said:If we go 12-4 (wins over Az and St.L):
If Dallas doesn’t win out, we’re guaranteed a 1-seed (1v1 tiebreaks vs. Det, GB, and Az, the only other possible 12-4 teams).
If Dallas DOES win out…
If one of Detroit or Green Bay also wins out (12-4) (they can’t both win out as they play in wk.17), this leads to a three-way tie with them, us, and Dallas. Hilariously, despite Dallas beating us 1v1 earlier this season, we actually win the three-team tiebreaker with either NFCN team based on division record, and Dallas loses the 1v1 tiebreak vs either GB or Det, and thus get knocked down to the 3-seed while Det/GB takes the 2 and we get the 1-seed.
If both Detroit and GB go 11-4-1 or worse (i.e. don’t win out), we lose tiebreakers to Dallas and land in the 2-seed.
If we go 11-5 (loss to Az):
We can’t finish higher than a 5-seed (Az guaranteed at least 12-4 finish to our maximum 11-5, even if we go 2-0 vs them)
If Dallas goes 12-4, they win the division and we get a 5-seed, unless Detroit and GB both finish 11-4-1, in which case we get a 6-seed.
If Dallas goes 11-5:
If Philly DOESN’T win out, Dallas wins the East and we get a 5-seed, unless Det and GB finish 11-4-1, in which case we get a 6-seed.
If Dallas goes 11-5 AND Philadelphia wins out, Philly wins the division on div. record. And:
If the NFCN teams both go 11-5 or better, then we end up in ANOTHER hilarious situation wherein Dallas misses the PLAYOFFS on a three-way tiebreaker with us and an NFCN team. We get the 5th seed.
If one of the NFCN teams goes 10-6, Dallas wins the 1v1 tiebreak against us and takes the 5th seed and we’re knocked down to 6th.
If both NFCN teams go 11-4-1 (with a tie against each other in wk.17), we actually miss the playoffs… but fortunately this is (almost) the only possible way we miss at 11-5. (There’s one other way, but it’s virtually impossible.)
If Dallas goes 10-6, we get a 5-seed, barring GB and Det finishing 11-4-1, in which case we get a 6-seed.
If Dallas ties one game, it doesn’t really change anything. They win the division at 11-4-1, and they miss the playoffs at 10-5-1. If they somehow go 10-4-2, AND Philly goes 11-5, AND Det and GB both go 11-4-1 (yes, this means three ties between these three teams in the last two weeks of the season), then we miss the playoffs. Yeah.
If we go 11-5 (loss to StL):
If Az beats SF in wk.17, things are the same as if we went 11-5 with a loss to Az.
If Az LOSES to SF, we win the division and get a 2- or 3-seed depending on Dallas. (I won’t go into detail; you understand this by now.)
If we go 10-6:
Things are actually pretty simple.
If Philly loses the division to Dallas AND goes 10-6 or worse, we make the playoffs. 5 vs. 6 seed is obvious and strictly based on record, as we own all non-Dallas tiebreaks. If they go better than 10-6 and the NFCN teams do as well, we miss the playoffs. This is pretty straightforward.
If Philly wins the division, we’re competing with the NFCN teams and Dallas for a WC spot.
If we and Dallas are the only 10-6 teams, we miss the playoffs.
If we, Dallas, and an NFCN team are all 10-6, we win the three-way tiebreaks and Dallas misses the playoffs.
Edit:In the event of a three team tie for #1, we win due to better CONFERENCE record, not divisional record.
Simple version:
*Step 1: Seahawks win out
*Step 2: Green Bay OR Detroit wins out
*Step 3: Seahawks get #1 seed
*Step 4: Superb Owl
Really simple version: Go 1-0 every week, let everything else fall into place.
Fabulous work here NJSeahawk. Wow.
Any chance this can be its own topic and get stickied and updated? :th2thumbs: