rideaducati
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SalishHawkFan":339qbadu said:My feeling about the Chiefs vs the Bills was based on looking at DVOA over that period. Last year both teams finished 9-7. Buffalo had a 10.5 DVOA. KC had a 10.4 DVOA. But the year before Buffalo went 6-10 with a -3.3% dvoa while KC was 11-5 with a 17.5% dvoa.rideaducati":339qbadu said:I don't see how you can say that KC was "impressive", but the Bills are "not good" when both teams finished with the same record and Buffalo had a much tougher schedule last year. The Chiefs had one good year and in that year they didn't beat a single team that finished the year over .500. They have a tough schedule of AFC and NFC North opponents. KC is not making the playoffs. I think San Diego will take their place.
KC has added some weapons, but what had Buffalo done? I see KC as being a more consistent team than Buffalo. Ultimately, the Bills will lose at KC and that gives the nod to the Chiefs IMO.
I suggest you take a closer look at the 2013 Chiefs. I'm sure most teams would have a pretty good DVOA against the schedule they had. I believe they played 6 teams that were playing with their backup QBs and they lost to every team they played that finished the year over .500. Sure, KC got some new receiving weapons, but I don't think deep threat wide receivers are going to help Alex Smith because Alex doesn't throw the ball more than 5 yards down the field.
Just looking at DVOA, I see the Bills improved A LOT while the Chiefs fell back a lot. KC had a tougher schedule last year than the year before and this year their schedule gets even tougher. I think that trend will continue for both teams.
Buffalo is just average QB play away from being a damn good team. They have weapons on both sides of the ball and a top defense.