How the Seattle SeahawksCan Make the Playoffs-Calculator

[NJSeahawk]

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/upshot/2015-nfl-playoff-simulator.html?team=sea&_r=0

With 96 games remaining, there are about 79 octillion different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end. How many of those put the Seahawks in the playoffs? Far too many to check by hand.

So we built this simulator. Most calculators force you to choose the winners of each remaining game. Here, you can choose the outcomes of just a few games and see how your team’s chances grow or shrink. (For more information about this simulator, check out our intro post.)

 

[MB12]

I got 60%

 

[Cartire]

Win out and we have a 95% chance.

5-1 still heavily favors is making it.

4-2 is around 40-50% depending on the teams m

Anything else is low teens and below.

 

[Uncle Si]

If you go down and predict the rest of the results it gets a little more interesting


I got us finishing 10-6 and still 99% to make the playoffs based on the other games.

Maybe I did it wrong?

 

[RunTheBall]

Win out and we have a 95% chance.

5-1 still heavily favors is making it.

4-2 is around 40-50% depending on the teams m

Anything else is low teens and below.

Yep, 11-5 or 10-6 we are almost guaranteed to get in, as long as we beat Minnesota.

9-7 it's about 50/50.

 

[Cartire]

If you go down and predict the rest of the results it gets a little more interesting


I got us finishing 10-6 and still 99% to make the playoffs based on the other games.

Maybe I did it wrong?

What 2 games? The closest I can get is if we lose 2 to the Steelers and Ravens, 93%.

 

[RunTheBall]

If you go down and predict the rest of the results it gets a little more interesting


I got us finishing 10-6 and still 99% to make the playoffs based on the other games.

Maybe I did it wrong?

What 2 games? The closest I can get is if we lose 2 to the Steelers and Ravens, 93%.

10-6 would mean losing 1 game, not two.

 

[BlueTalons]

Here's the thing: The Hawks have played the #3 most difficult schedule in the NFC (#7 in NFL) so far (ref: http://playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcsospg.html#sflx). The teams we are competing with: Falcons (#16/32), Vikings (#14/29), and Buccaneers (#12/22).

Here's the kicker: It gets "easier" for the Hawks and MUCH more difficult for the other teams (ref: http://playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcsosrg.html#sflx)

Hawks #12/22
Falcons #1/1 (The most difficult and they are already dropping like a rock!)
Vikings #2/2 (Beating them in 2 weeks will be KEY!)
Buccaneers #5/5

Basically these 4 teams competing for the two Wild Card spots. (At this point, we want GB to win the North.)

 

[AgentDib]

The main takeaway here is that the Hawks still have a very good shot - if they are a good team that has just under performed in a couple of close games this year. How you feel about their playoff chances should reflect how you feel about the team as a whole.

The second takeaway is that the game in Minnesota is very important. We make the playoffs in many of the scenarios where we win that game and we miss the playoffs is many of the scenarios where we lose that game.

 

[Hawks46]

I put us losing to the Stealers and the Cardinals. Those are the two most likely losses IMO.

It puts us at 77% to get into the playoffs. That's far better than I would've thought.


Games matter more from here on out. Tampa and ATL play eachother. I think Tampa plays Minn as well, or ATL plays them, one of the two. We play Minn. So we have a chance to hang a loss on MInny, Minny still plays GB, @GB once, and other WC hopefuls play each other as well.

There's a lot out there that can help us, but I still prefer to control our own destiny. Winning out would do that. Starting this Sunday.

 

[jammerhawk]

Everything (including a 1st round playoff bye) is still open to the Hawks so long as they continue to win and can beat out the Cardinals in Phoenix.

If they win out, the odds of making the playoffs go up to 99%.

 

[MrThortan]

From my first simulation it looked like they are allowed to lose one game and have a >99% chance at the #6 seed. I think It really depends on the Vikings, Falcons and Rams though. So many scenarios. It looks like beating the Vikings in WK 13 is a must win in most scenarios.

I think the Cards beat the Vikings, and the Panthers beat the Falcons in WK 14. The Panthers play the Falcons again in WK 16 and the Vikings meet the Packers to end the season.

I really like the chances, but it all depends on the Seahawks finishing the season with wins.

 

[Cartire]

If you go down and predict the rest of the results it gets a little more interesting


I got us finishing 10-6 and still 99% to make the playoffs based on the other games.

Maybe I did it wrong?

What 2 games? The closest I can get is if we lose 2 to the Steelers and Ravens, 93%.

10-6 would mean losing 1 game, not two.

yep, im dumb.

 

[Cartire]

From my first simulation it looked like they are allowed to lose one game and have a >99% chance at the #6 seed. I think It really depends on the Vikings, Falcons and Rams though. So many scenarios. It looks like beating the Vikings in WK 13 is a must win.

Yeah, and its at 10am. YES!

 

[jammerhawk]

Here is another calculator with games from week 13 onwards.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/playoffscenario