pinksheets wrote:Yeah, the Redskins offense, if you take the whole year's stats, has been slightly better than the Seahawks. If you look at the last chunk of games, it appears the Seahawks have edged them out. Either way, even if we concede offense to the Skins, the difference between the defenses is not slight. The Seahawks straight up have a very significantly better defense. They allow 9 points less a game than the Redskins.
I'll have to say even then you have to consider opponent strength, even though there number are identical lets not forget the Seattle's offense was playing against better defenses and their defense was playing against better offenses
strength of schedule and divisional strength means a lot in this league, if you get comfortable beating mediocre teams and thinking your all sorted out only hurts you when you meet a well rounded team, and that facet usually shows up, niners vs hawks in point..
fact of the matter is even when Wilson and Co. were on a short leash they beat some extremely formidable opponents, the Packers, the Patriots, the Bears, the Vikings and then the Niners week 16 ofter they opened they play book to chapter 2, c'mon man just those 5 teams alone share a 54-25-1 record amongst themselves, 54-25 and 1, every one of those teams having 10 or more wins..
lets move onto the Redskins with their 5 strongest opponent wins, Bengals, Ravens, Vikings, Giants, Cowboys... 47-34-0 combined W/L record with 3 of those teams having 10+ wins, one right at .500
does that say anything? it does but what says the most are the remaining teams W/L records, welp they lost to the Panthers, that summarizes the strength of schedule for me but I'll call it a warsh as the Hawks did suffer a close loss to the Dolphins, a team that finished 7-9
I guess my point is that your strength of opponent stiffens you up for the finale, it makes sense that if you're beating high caliber teams and getting better towards the end of your season it also makes sense that your team may be stronger than a team that has been beating lesser opponents towards the end of their schedule simply due to conditioning?
any given Sunday is a fact but if you cut out all the BS and survey on common sense and statistics and say Vegas is about right giving the Hawks the nodd at -3 ginst the skins? but remember Vegas gave the Hawks the nodd at -3.5 when the Niners came to town week 16 and the Hawks steamrolled Vegas by 25.5 points...
just something to think about I guess?