Hawks46":khsb607p said:
Yea, I don't think I'd agree with all of this either.
The Seahawks knew Wilson would be good....Schneider had to be talked out of drafting Wilson in the 2nd round (and you don't draft guys in the 2nd that have major question marks or you're unsure of). They knew what they knew, and they also were playing a big bluff here. They probably figured that since they had just signed Flynn (everyone claims it was big money, but it wasn't even starting QB money honestly), and with Jackson already on the roster, that we weren't in the market for a QB. The one thing the Seahawks didn't know is whether Jackson or Flynn would be good enough to take our team to the next level, so they got a 3rd QB and let them slug it out.
Our FO knew the market. Look at the Bruce Irvin pick: most pundits had us WAY over drafting Irvin. Then it came out that 3 of the GMs behind us had Irvin rated at a 1st round grade and he would never have made it until the 2nd round. Draft analysts are just that: they analyze players and give them a grade, then sort them out by grade and team need. They don't usually get into the draft strategy that much. It's been said that the Hawks knew they could get Wilson in the 3rd (and Wagner in the 2nd, although Kendricks was supposedly the primary target) because of the Flynn deal.
So saying we'd rush up to the podium with our 1st round pick if we'd have known Wilson would be this good....well that only works if EVERYONE knew Wilson would be this good, which would mean Washington would've give up their draft haul to STL in exchange for Wilson and not RGIII. The Hawks would never give up that kind of draft capital, so we'd never have gotten him.....it goes on and on.
If the converse is true, and we're the only ones that know Wilson is going to be special....well we'd still not draft him in the 1st because we're the only ones that know. So we're back where we're at, and Pete and John look like geniuses (they should, whether by luck or not).
On thing's for sure: I'd hate to play Texas Hold em with Pete.
JS actually wanted Wilson at #12, but had to be "talked down" by his scouting department.
Granted, the odds of losing Wilson between picks #12 and #43 is small. Maybe a 5% chance. I would still feel uncomfortable taking that chance, and I think JS did too. Now, the odds of losing Wilson between #47 and #75? That's a pretty significant chance. Probably 50/50. And as we found out later, Wilson would have been taken the very next pick after Seattle got him.
Just because something worked out, doesn't mean it was a smart idea. If Philly had caught on that Seattle wanted Wilson, and moved up to the #74 pick, JS would be talking about the fish that got away the rest of his life.
In fairness to JS, I think he was compromising a bit with Pete Carroll and the scouting department. So it's not like I'm blaming JS. If he had his way he would have taken Wilson in the 1st or 2nd round.
I just think it's fair to look a bit cross eyed at the decision to wait as long as they did if they thought Wilson was legit given how much is at stake. And to be fair to Prisco, our scouting department unanimously disliked Wilson as a prospect. It really was a case of JS over-riding his scouts, and while Pete was positive about it, it was JS that got Pete on board.