Here's an interesting number. Vegas Odds of winning the SB
If I'm going to give a lot of credence to any single number, I'll think Vegas odds. They tend to do their research because, you know, actual money rests on them putting out a line for people to bet. It doesn't care so much the actual record, it cares whether they think you will win or lose the game you're betting on.
What better number to talk about because there is a lot of talk about that the small percentage of 0-2 teams that make the playoffs is swayed by the fact that most 0-2 teams just really suck and they probably wouldn't make the playoffs regardless if they were 0-2 and 1-1.
Well let's look. I noticed that the triple odds teams (100-1 of winning the SB) tend to always be in the bottom 20% to 25% of the league while the 10-1 odds or better tend to be only the top 3 or 4 teams.
Here we go:
2013-2014 season 0-2 teams Vegas Odds of winning the SB:
Only two teams are better than 100-1 odds which lends credence to the fact that the 0-2 teams sucked.
PANTHERS 66-1
GIANTS 75-1
REDSKINS 100-1
STEELERS 125-1
BROWNS 150-1
BUCANEERS 250-1
JAGUARS 1000-1
2014-2015 season 0-2 teams Vegas Odds of winning the SB
Again, only two teams are better than 100-1 odds which lends credence to the fact that the 0-2 teams sucked
SAINTS 20-1
COLTS 40-1
GIANTS 150-1
BUCANEERS 200-1
CHIEFS 200-1
RAIDERS 500-1
JAGUARS 500-1
2015-2016 season 0-2 teams Vegas Odds of winning the SB
Look who is still a 8-1 bet for winning the SB (in the top three or four). That's something no matter if you're 0-2, 1-1,. or 2-0.
And if you like parity, what about the fact this year only one team is 100-1 or worse.
Seahawks 8-1
Colts 16-1
Eagles 20-1
Ravens 30-1
Lions 60-1
Saints 80-1
Giants 80-1
Texans 80-1
Bears 300-1
Also, if it helps,
2013-2014 Season after week 2
Broncos: 4-1 odds of winning (#1)
Seahawks: 6-1 odds of winning (#2)
49ers: 8-1 odds of winning (#3)
2014-2015 Season after week 2
Broncos: 9-2 odds of winning (#1)
Seahawks: 9-2 odds of winning (#2)
Patriots: 8-1 odds of winning (#3)
2015-2016 Season after week 2
Packers: 3-1 odds of winning (#1)
Patriots: 5-1 odds of winning (#2)
Seahawks: 8-1 odds of winning (#3)
That's right, at 0-2, we are still the third best odds of winning the SB this year. And still under 10-1 at an 8-1. I'll take that as a pretty accurate indication of our team
Not saying there aren't things that worry me. For sure. I'm taking this more as credbility that we don't need to hit any panick button yet.