SoulfishHawk
Well-known member
As soon as I heard his whiny 9er butt kissing voice, I turned it.
plyka":1zl1rg4m said:Polaris":1zl1rg4m said:Listen to the Vegas wise guys. The public money is all over the Niners. The smart money is on Seattle.
I agree 100%. I heard that 75% of the money is on the 49ers, yet the point spread remains the same at -3.5 for the Hawks. This is quite interesting to me. I think that the smart money is VERY CONVINCED in their pick. Usually they try to get even money on both sides (from what i hear), so it's surprising that they are willing to take SOOO much risk 75% versus 25%, while not budging the point spread at all.
I think Vegas his very big on a Hawks' win.
plyka":1dslmrot said:Polaris":1dslmrot said:Listen to the Vegas wise guys. The public money is all over the Niners. The smart money is on Seattle.
I agree 100%. I heard that 75% of the money is on the 49ers, yet the point spread remains the same at -3.5 for the Hawks. This is quite interesting to me. I think that the smart money is VERY CONVINCED in their pick. Usually they try to get even money on both sides (from what i hear), so it's surprising that they are willing to take SOOO much risk 75% versus 25%, while not budging the point spread at all.
I think Vegas his very big on a Hawks' win.
amill87":kr8xxkj8 said:plyka":kr8xxkj8 said:Polaris":kr8xxkj8 said:Listen to the Vegas wise guys. The public money is all over the Niners. The smart money is on Seattle.
I agree 100%. I heard that 75% of the money is on the 49ers, yet the point spread remains the same at -3.5 for the Hawks. This is quite interesting to me. I think that the smart money is VERY CONVINCED in their pick. Usually they try to get even money on both sides (from what i hear), so it's surprising that they are willing to take SOOO much risk 75% versus 25%, while not budging the point spread at all.
I think Vegas his very big on a Hawks' win.
That is very interesting. But it makes sense. The only 'advantage' the niners hold right now is they are the 'hot hand'. Which I'm sure Vegas doesn't believe in because its not proven to be real. On the other hand we got a similar offense, better defense, best hfa, and rested.
Well, the Vegas wise guys are just trying to make money. That's not tied to who they think will win.Polaris":znhs3gq1 said:Listen to the Vegas wise guys. The public money is all over the Niners. The smart money is on Seattle.
RolandDeschain":jnaw85gy said:Well, the Vegas wise guys are just trying to make money. That's not tied to who they think will win.Polaris":jnaw85gy said:Listen to the Vegas wise guys. The public money is all over the Niners. The smart money is on Seattle.
brimsalabim":jnaw85gy said:Colin argued that the 99ers have a decided advantage when it comes to offensive playmakers and he said our D's and special teams cancel each other out. It's difficult to argue his logic. If we were to combine both squads who would be the starters? They certainly have us on TE, WR1 & WR2 and probably every position on the OL. Now in most cases you are talking 1 & 1A though it’s very close but I see where he is coming from on his pick.
Polaris":3obz9o0c said:Listen to the Vegas wise guys. The public money is all over the Niners. The smart money is on Seattle.
Polaris":1r5efiwj said:CrimsonWazzu":1r5efiwj said:I think the "hot hand" factor is hard for some of the talking heads to overcome because of the last few years. Colin is a fairly rational guy, doesn't mean he's right all the time, but he makes good points and it really comes down to a gut feeling and whether you think home field and intangibles will overcome the "hot hand" factor.
But yeah, he's wrong.
The problem with the "hot hand" theory is that it's purely psychological. If you actually look at the statistics over the past several years, the "hot hand" theory is laughable. The last time a team won the superbowl going in with a 2+ win streak going into the playoffs is the 2005 Steelers. Baltimore was not the best team and limped into the playoffs last year with a 1-4 record down the stretch.
Basically people see a team winning, get attached to that team (called the recency efffect).