Can anyone explain this intriguing concept (Seahawks +)

[CanuckSeaHawk]

Why is it in the first half, and sometimes well into the second half one team will totally dominate, shutting down the other team only to either blow it and lose the game or narrowly escape?

Examples

NFC final Seahawks vs Green Bay, Parker’s totally shit down Seahawks for 56 minutes only to lose the game

NFC semifinal Seahawks vs Carolina. Panthers lead 31 -0 at the half. In the second half Seahawks shut them down, scored
24 points and came close to tying the game

Sunday. The 49 ers stalled our offence in the first half but in the second half the Sea Hawks broke out with both the running and passing game and came within inches of winning

In October the Sea Hawks had a huge half time lead on the Falcons and escaped the second half with a total turnaround
By Atlanta

 

[John63]

Why is it in the first half, and sometimes well into the second half one team will totally dominate, shutting down the other team only to either blow it and lose the game or narrowly escape?

Examples

NFC final Seahawks vs Green Bay, Parker’s totally $h!t down Seahawks for 56 minutes only to lose the game

NFC semifinal Seahawks vs Carolina. Panthers lead 31 -0 at the half. In the second half Seahawks shut them down, scored
24 points and came close to tying the game

Sunday. The 49 ers stalled our offence in the first half but in the second half the Sea Hawks broke out with both the running and passing game and came within inches of winning

In October the Sea Hawks had a huge half time lead on the Falcons and escaped the second half with a total turnaround
By Atlanta

Adjustments or tendencies are usually the answer. Example for us we decided to wait till after half time to going to movement and tempo changing even though we know it always works.

IN the game were we let them back in, it is because that is how PC plays his tendencies to play it close. If we get the lead he is fine with sitting on it, rather than extending it. Because of this he waits to start trying to score again, sometimes too late sometimes not.

 

[getnasty]

If somebody could come up with our points per possession in the first half compared to the second half i will give them a dollar. I bet it nit as crazy as you would think.

 

[Seahawk_Dan]

Why is it in the first half, and sometimes well into the second half one team will totally dominate, shutting down the other team only to either blow it and lose the game or narrowly escape?

Examples

NFC final Seahawks vs Green Bay, Parker’s totally $h!t down Seahawks for 56 minutes only to lose the game

NFC semifinal Seahawks vs Carolina. Panthers lead 31 -0 at the half. In the second half Seahawks shut them down, scored
24 points and came close to tying the game

Sunday. The 49 ers stalled our offence in the first half but in the second half the Sea Hawks broke out with both the running and passing game and came within inches of winning

In October the Sea Hawks had a huge half time lead on the Falcons and escaped the second half with a total turnaround
By Atlanta

Adjustments or tendencies are usually the answer. Example for us we decided to wait till after half time to going to movement and tempo changing even though we know it always works.

IN the game were we let them back in, it is because that is how PC plays his tendencies to play it close. If we get the lead he is fine with sitting on it, rather than extending it. Because of this he waits to start trying to score again, sometimes too late sometimes not.

I never noticed how arrogant that kind of thinking is. He's fine with whatever lead, whether that's a few points or a touchdown and just sits on it until the other team eventually gets back into it and the Seahawks have to play catch up. That, as we've seen, can just bite you in the ass because in a way you're always playing down on your opponent which should never be the case.

 

[ApnaHawk]

This goes back to Pete’s SC days. Pete has had teams that blow teams out. The 2012 team I think went on that stretch of 3-4 games and just dominated the other teams

 

[John63]

Why is it in the first half, and sometimes well into the second half one team will totally dominate, shutting down the other team only to either blow it and lose the game or narrowly escape?

Examples

NFC final Seahawks vs Green Bay, Parker’s totally $h!t down Seahawks for 56 minutes only to lose the game

NFC semifinal Seahawks vs Carolina. Panthers lead 31 -0 at the half. In the second half Seahawks shut them down, scored
24 points and came close to tying the game

Sunday. The 49 ers stalled our offence in the first half but in the second half the Sea Hawks broke out with both the running and passing game and came within inches of winning

In October the Sea Hawks had a huge half time lead on the Falcons and escaped the second half with a total turnaround
By Atlanta

Adjustments or tendencies are usually the answer. Example for us we decided to wait till after half time to going to movement and tempo changing even though we know it always works.

IN the game were we let them back in, it is because that is how PC plays his tendencies to play it close. If we get the lead he is fine with sitting on it, rather than extending it. Because of this he waits to start trying to score again, sometimes too late sometimes not.

I never noticed how arrogant that kind of thinking is. He's fine with whatever lead, whether that's a few points or a touchdown and just sits on it until the other team eventually gets back into it and the Seahawks have to play catch up. That, as we've seen, can just bite you in the ass because in a way you're always playing down on your opponent which should never be the case.

PC said he likes to keep in close and win in the end. What more do you need to know.

 

[JGreen79]

If somebody could come up with our points per possession in the first half compared to the second half i will give them a dollar. I bet it nit as crazy as you would think.

First half Drives = 91
Second Half Drives = 99

First Half Points per Drive = 1.90
Second Half Points per Drive = 2.13

First Half Plays per Drive = 5.58
Second Half Plays per Drive = 5.62

First Half Yards per Drive = 32.16
Second Half Yards per Drive = 30.80

 

[onanygivensunday]

If somebody could come up with our points per possession in the first half compared to the second half i will give them a dollar. I bet it nit as crazy as you would think.

First half Drives = 91
Second Half Drives = 99

First Half Points per Drive = 1.90
Second Half Points per Drive = 2.13

First Half Plays per Drive = 5.58
Second Half Plays per Drive = 5.62

First Half Yards per Drive = 32.16
Second Half Yards per Drive = 30.80

That looks more like $4 worth.

Tip him a $1 and make it an even $5-er.

 

[SoulfishHawk]

They had 79 flippen yards in the 1st half. Pathetic

 

[Popeyejones]

Why is it in the first half, and sometimes well into the second half one team will totally dominate, shutting down the other team only to either blow it and lose the game or narrowly escape?

A combination of two things:

1) Small sample size. Good drives and bad drives usually come down to a handful of plays, and we're talking six possessions or so per half, so there is just a TON of random variance in this. Any time a score is lopsided at half time, purely out of random variance we should expect the second half to be less lopsided than the first.

2) Strategy. The goal is to win, not to win by the most points. This is why it's fun to look at the win probability graphs over the course of games. Oftentimes you'll see a losing team march down the field for a touchdown, and their win probability is decreasing as they go, as time is more valuable than yards on their long drive. It's why when up two or three scores defenses leave the short middle of the field open for halfback passes -- 8 yards of advancement in exchange for a minute off the clock is MAJORLY in favor of the defense.

First half Drives = 91
Second Half Drives = 99

First Half Points per Drive = 1.90
Second Half Points per Drive = 2.13

First Half Plays per Drive = 5.58
Second Half Plays per Drive = 5.62

First Half Yards per Drive = 32.16
Second Half Yards per Drive = 30.80

Great reminder of the difference between perception and reality. Assuming 6 drives per half we're talking the difference of a little more than one point between the first and second half.

 

[getnasty]

JGreen79

Thanks buddy that really good work and i offically owe you $1. These numbers were a lot closer then i tought but i had a feeling they wouldn't be to far off.