Tokadub
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- Oct 26, 2013
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loafoftatupu":2jm32d91 said:Tokadub":2jm32d91 said:Anything specific that you disagree about? Or just hard to think of the team you love so critically. Pretty much every single one of my points is based on statistics so I'm really curious what you disagree about.
We do have some flaws, I think this post outlines them quite clearly.
Hmm.. every team has flaws, the difference is how big are they and how they apply to a situation.
Interesting that Hawks actually moved the ball fairly well, considering the level of the Niner's defense on the road. I thought that they played more than well enough to win and that the Niners made a play or two that the Hawks didn't have time to make. Good for the Niners, but offensive "woes"? LMAO!!!!!!
Game features 2 outstanding defenses, in SF. The only REAL mistakes by Seattle were penalties and even with that they were able to keep the game tight until the last seconds. I see no concerns going forward, not even if the Hawks had to play in Frisco again. Didn't the Hawks just bitch-slap the Saints the week before? Do you see the difference?
Right... Offensive Woes.. Nice story.
You can slice the game many ways. I prefer not to blame the loss on penalties since that stuff happens nearly every week.
Our special teams needs to stop having blocked punts, really don't trust those guys for punts. That guy just ran right through the middle no resistance at all, couldn't believe it.
Our defense played pretty dang well except for the one big run.
But here's what really gets me. The 49ers didn't look that good to me, they could have played much better. Not just trying to hate on them, but their offense looked pretty pathetic.
Kaepernick was mostly flustered and ineffective. He barely threw 50% completion rate with 15/29, and he also had an interception.
Their run game only averaged 4.9 yards per run even with the 51 yard game winner by Gore. If you took away that one play they would have rushed for 112 yards in 32 plays, or 3.5 yards per run. That's fewer yards per carry than we had on a day with 1 rushing first down...
We also had no fumbles which is always a good day when you run it as much as we do.
So what I'm saying is we lost on a day the 49ers looked really flat. This wasn't the same high flying 49ers that made it to the Super Bowl, they appear to have regressed and we should of won this game. I think we easily could of won with even slight adjustments to our offensive game plan.
When you hold the 49ers to 19 points at home which is nearly a touchdown less than their season average of 24.3, and on a day where they only score 1 touchdown and have an interception... that's really not a good sign if you can't win in those conditions.
Also it's not like we have a huge edge over the average team in scoring even though we are tied for total points at #3 with Dallas. You take away one field goal from our average and we are right around #15 alongside the likes of Minnesota ~24 per game. Not exactly something I would be dancing about although with our defense it's a lot more meaningful.
But we are 12th in yards per game behind teams such as:
- San Diego Chargers
- Green Bay Packers
- Washington Redskins
- Houstan Texans
We have less yards per game on offense than all those teams who don't even have a winning record. So I think to ignore even the warning signs of offensive problems would be foolish. We aren't an offensive juggernaut by any means the way we have played this season, several very close games.
On the road we are averaging 23 points per game, Superbowl is played on the East Coast this year in New Jersey not great weather most likely.
http://www.bsports.com/statsinsights/nf ... new-jersey
"By averaging the weather conditions for the last 30 years in East Rutherford, New Jersey we have come to expect a high temperature of 42°F with a low temperature of 26°F and an average wind speed of 8 MPH. Additionally, there been some form of precipitation (rain, snow, etc.) 60% of the time. "
"With an analysis of all NFL games played this season (playoffs included) focusing on the temperature and wind speed for each game, we have found that on average the 60 NFL games that were played this season in 49°F weather or cooler yielded fewer total points, total yards, and more turnovers per game than games played in 50°F or warmer or in Domes."
In other words we can expect the Super Bowl to be a very unpredictable game with more turnovers and less scoring. Can we get it done averaging 23 points on the road if he have offensive play calling like this on the East Coast in freezing weather?
I don't see why not, but it sure does cause me some concern when I don't trust our offensive coordinators ability to adjust appropriately for important games. We can't afford slow starts either I think we haven't scored in 1st quarters 6 times already this year, wouldn't want to see that in Super Bowl.
Still think we are the NFC favorites with home field advantage obviously, but after seeing that game vs the 49ers and remembering what happened against Atlanta last year this was really a bad one for me.